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NFLPlayer propPassing yards
Aaron Rodgers under 230.5 passing yards
Won11 of 17last season · 65%
Best price-108BetOnline
Price needs51.9%wins to break even
Every game13 of 23this season and last
Trend score-22.3Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 52% to break even | 5%–56% | 32 points shortwon 20%, needs 52% | 253.2passing yards |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 52% to break even | 19%–65% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% | 236.1passing yards |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 52% to break even | 33%–72% | 1 points betterwon 53%, needs 52% | 217.5passing yards |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 52% to break even | 12%–65% | 19 points shortwon 33%, needs 52% | 247.8passing yards |
| Last season | 11 of 1765%needs 52% to break even | 45%–81% | 13 points betterwon 65%, needs 52% | 204passing yards |
| Every game | 13 of 2357%needs 52% to break even | 40%–72% | 5 points betterwon 57%, needs 52% | 215.4passing yards |
Games like tonight
Tonight PIT plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against NO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 10 on the road. Tonight: NO allows 256 passing yards a game to quarterbacks, the 7th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 236.1): a tough matchup for this bet. How NO defends quarterbacks
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Every book's price
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Aaron Rodgers under 230.5 passing yards2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Passing yards in each game against under 230.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Passing yards | Beat 230.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  TB | 253 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  IND | 235 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  CLE | 299 | -68.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  CIN | 292 | -61.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  NE | 187 | +43.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  ATL | 221 | +9.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 19 |  HOU | 146 | +84.5 | Won |
| Wk 18 |  BAL | 294 | -63.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 | CLE | 168 | +62.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 |  DET | 266 | -35.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 |  MIA | 224 | +6.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 | BAL | 284 | -53.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 |  BUF | 117 | +113.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | CIN | 116 | +114.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 |  LAC | 161 | +69.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 | IND | 203 | +27.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 |  GB | 219 | +11.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 | CIN | 249 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 | CLE | 235 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  MIN | 200 | +30.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | NE | 139 | +91.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  SEA | 203 | +27.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  NYJ | 244 | -13.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 219.5 passing yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) |  -162at DraftKings | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 62% to break even6 of 10 on the road | Record is this season's | -18.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 220.5 passing yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) |  -161at BetOnline | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 62% to break even6 of 10 on the road | Record is this season's | -18.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 224.5 passing yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) |  -132at FanDuel | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 57% to break even6 of 10 on the road | -21.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 229.5 passing yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -114at FanDuel | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even6 of 10 on the road | -18.4Not beating its price | ||
| Over 230.5 passing yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -120at BetOnline | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 55% to break even6 of 10 on the road | -19.4Not beating its price | ||
| Over 231.5 passing yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) |  -117at BetRivers | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 54% to break even6 of 10 on the road | -18.9Not beating its price | ||
| Over 234.5 passing yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -112at DraftKings | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even6 of 10 on the road | -18.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 236.5 passing yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) |  +105at BetMGM | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 49% to break even6 of 10 on the road | -21.9Not beating its price | ||
| Over 239.5 passing yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) |  +103at Caesars | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 49% to break even6 of 10 on the road | -22.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 240.5 passing yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +103at BetOnline | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 49% to break even6 of 10 on the road | -22.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 249.5 passing yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +140at FanDuel | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 42% to break even4 of 10 on the road | -17.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 250.5 passing yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +127at BetOnline | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 44% to break even4 of 10 on the road | -19.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 259.5 passing yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +169at DraftKings | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 37% to break even3 of 10 on the road | -19.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 260.5 passing yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +156at BetOnline | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 39% to break even3 of 10 on the road | -20.9Not beating its price | ||
| Over 270.5 passing yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +192at BetOnline | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 34% to break even2 of 10 on the road | -19.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Aaron Rodgers in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores a TDAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +1300at BetRivers | 1 of 15· last 15 games7%needs 7% to break even1 of 10 on the road | -5.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 37.5 pass attemptsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +166at DraftKings | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 38% to break even5 of 10 on the road | -8.5Not beating its price | ||
| Over 21.5 completionsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -112at BetRivers | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 53% to break even7 of 10 on the road | Record is this season's | -10.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 4.5 rushing yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +142at FanDuel | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 41% to break even4 of 10 on the road | -12.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 33.5 pass attemptsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -151at DraftKings | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 60% to break even7 of 10 on the road | -15.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 20.5 completionsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -196at BetOnline | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 66% to break even8 of 10 on the road | -16.4Not beating its price | ||
| Over 35.5 pass attemptsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +106at DraftKings | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 49% to break even5 of 10 on the road | -16.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 0.5 interceptions thrownAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) |  +110at Bovada | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 48% to break even6 of 10 on the road | -16.9Not beating its price | ||
| Under 1.5 passing TDsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) |  -107at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 52% to break even5 of 10 on the road | -17.5Not beating its price | ||
| Over 269.5 pass + rush yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +186at DraftKings | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 35% to break even3 of 10 on the road | -17.5Not beating its price | ||
| Over 234.5 pass + rush yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -114at FanDuel | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even6 of 10 on the road | -18.4Not beating its price | ||
| Over 239.5 pass + rush yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -112at DraftKings | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even6 of 10 on the road | -18.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.