This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 7% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 7% to break even | 0%–35% | 7 points shortwon 0%, needs 7% |
| Last 10 games | 0 of 100%needs 7% to break even | 0%–21% | 7 points shortwon 0%, needs 7% |
| Last 15 games | 1 of 157%needs 7% to break even | 2%–25% | evenwon 7%, needs 7% |
| This season | 0 of 60%needs 7% to break even | 0%–31% | 7 points shortwon 0%, needs 7% |
| Last season | 1 of 176%needs 7% to break even | 1%–23% | 1 points shortwon 6%, needs 7% |
| Every game | 1 of 234%needs 7% to break even | 1%–17% | 3 points shortwon 4%, needs 7% |
Tonight PIT plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against NO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 1 of 10 on the road.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Aaron Rodgers game, newest first: whether Rodgers scored a touchdown.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Wk 6 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | No TD | Lost | |
| Last season | |||
| Wk 19 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 18 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 16 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 15 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 14 | 1 TD | Won | |
| Wk 13 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 11 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 10 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 9 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 8 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 7 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 6 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | No TD | Lost | |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 37.5 pass attemptsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +166at DraftKings | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 38% to break even5 of 10 on the road | -8.5Not beating its price | ||
| Over 21.5 completionsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -112at BetRivers | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 53% to break even7 of 10 on the road | Record is this season's | -10.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 4.5 rushing yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +142at FanDuel | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 41% to break even4 of 10 on the road | -12.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 33.5 pass attemptsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -151at DraftKings | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 60% to break even7 of 10 on the road | -15.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 20.5 completionsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -196at BetOnline | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 66% to break even8 of 10 on the road | -16.4Not beating its price | ||
| Under 199.5 passing yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +198at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 34% to break even4 of 10 on the road | -16.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 35.5 pass attemptsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +106at DraftKings | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 49% to break even5 of 10 on the road | -16.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 0.5 interceptions thrownAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +110at Bovada | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 48% to break even6 of 10 on the road | -16.9Not beating its price | ||
| Under 1.5 passing TDsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -107at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 52% to break even5 of 10 on the road | -17.5Not beating its price | ||
| Over 269.5 pass + rush yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +186at DraftKings | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 35% to break even3 of 10 on the road | -17.5Not beating its price | ||
| Over 249.5 passing yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +140at FanDuel | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 42% to break even4 of 10 on the road | -17.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 234.5 passing yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -112at DraftKings | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even6 of 10 on the road | -18.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.