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NFLPlayer propPassing yards
Aaron Rodgers over 229.5 passing yards
Won4 of 5last 5 games · 80%
Best price-114FanDuel
Price needs53.3%wins to break even
Every game10 of 23this season and last
Trend score-18.4Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 53% to break even | 44%–95% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% | 253.2passing yards |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 53% to break even | 35%–81% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% | 236.1passing yards |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 53% to break even | 28%–67% | 7 points shortwon 47%, needs 53% | 217.5passing yards |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 53% to break even | 35%–88% | 13 points betterwon 67%, needs 53% | 247.8passing yards |
| Last season | 6 of 1735%needs 53% to break even | 19%–55% | 18 points shortwon 35%, needs 53% | 204passing yards |
| Every game | 10 of 2343%needs 53% to break even | 28%–60% | 10 points shortwon 43%, needs 53% | 215.4passing yards |
Games like tonight
Tonight PIT plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against NO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 6 of 10 on the road. Tonight: NO allows 256 passing yards a game to quarterbacks, the 7th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 236.1): an easy matchup for this bet. How NO defends quarterbacks
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Aaron Rodgers over 229.5 passing yards2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Passing yards in each game against over 229.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Passing yards | Beat 229.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  TB | 253 | +23.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  IND | 235 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  CLE | 299 | +69.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  CIN | 292 | +62.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  NE | 187 | -42.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  ATL | 221 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 19 |  HOU | 146 | -83.5 | Lost |
| Wk 18 |  BAL | 294 | +64.5 | Won |
| Wk 17 | CLE | 168 | -61.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 |  DET | 266 | +36.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 |  MIA | 224 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 | BAL | 284 | +54.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 |  BUF | 117 | -112.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | CIN | 116 | -113.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 |  LAC | 161 | -68.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | IND | 203 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 |  GB | 219 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | CIN | 249 | +19.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 | CLE | 235 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  MIN | 200 | -29.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | NE | 139 | -90.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  SEA | 203 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  NYJ | 244 | +14.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 199.5 passing yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) |  +189at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 35% to break even4 of 10 on the road | -17.5Not beating its price | ||
| Under 224.5 passing yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +109at Kalshi | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 48% to break even4 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -18.9Not beating its price | |
| Under 225.5 passing yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) |  -110at Fanatics | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 52% to break even4 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -22.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 229.5 passing yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) |  -114at FanDuel | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 53% to break even4 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -23.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 231.5 passing yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) |  -113at DraftKings | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 53% to break even4 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -23.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 235.5 passing yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) |  -140at BetMGM | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 58% to break even4 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -21.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 249.5 passing yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -175at Kalshi | 14 of 17· last season82%needs 64% to break even6 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -23.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Aaron Rodgers in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 passing TDsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -107at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 52% to break even5 of 10 on the road | -17.5Not beating its price | ||
| Over 0.5 interceptions thrownAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -103at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 51% to break even6 of 10 on the road | -19.4Not beating its price | ||
| Under 0.5 rushing yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +108at FanDuel | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 48% to break even5 of 10 on the road | -19.5Not beating its price | ||
| Under 34.5 pass attemptsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -103at Kalshi | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 51% to break even5 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -20.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 34.5 pass attemptsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -116at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 54% to break even5 of 10 on the road | -20.1Not beating its price | ||
| Under 1.5 rushing yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -110at DraftKings | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 52% to break even6 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -20.9Not beating its price | |
| Under 0.5 interceptions thrownAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -121at Kalshi | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 55% to break even4 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -21.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 1.5 rushing yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -114at DraftKings | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 53% to break even4 of 10 on the road | -21.5Not beating its price | ||
| Over 22.5 completionsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +101at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 50% to break even5 of 10 on the road | -21.6Not beating its price | ||
| Under 22.5 completionsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -131at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 57% to break even5 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -21.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 1.5 passing TDsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -112at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even5 of 10 on the road | -22.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 0.5 rushing yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -140at FanDuel | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 58% to break even5 of 10 on the road | -23.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.