This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 53% to break even | 44%–95% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% | 257.2passing and rushing yards |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 53% to break even | 35%–81% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% | 241.3passing and rushing yards |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 53% to break even | 28%–67% | 6 points shortwon 47%, needs 53% | 221.5passing and rushing yards |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 53% to break even | 35%–88% | 14 points betterwon 67%, needs 53% | 250.7passing and rushing yards |
| Last season |
Tonight PIT plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against NO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 6 of 10 on the road. Tonight: NO allows 275.7 passing and rushing yards a game to quarterbacks, the 6th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 253.4): an easy matchup for this bet. How NO defends quarterbacks
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pass + rush yards in each game against over 239.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores a TD |
| 5 of 1729%needs 53% to break even |
| 15%–49% |
| 23 points shortwon 29%, needs 53% |
| 207.6passing and rushing yards |
| Every game | 9 of 2339%needs 53% to break even | 24%–56% | 14 points shortwon 39%, needs 53% | 218.8passing and rushing yards |
| Pass + rush yards |
|---|
| Beat 239.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 252 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 241 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 299 | +59.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 302 | +62.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 192 | -47.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 218 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 19 | 146 | -93.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 18 | 314 | +74.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 174 | -65.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 16 | 275 | +35.5 | Won | |
| Wk 15 | 224 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 14 | 284 | +44.5 | Won | |
| Wk 13 | 117 | -122.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 11 | 124 | -115.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 10 | 161 | -78.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 9 | 203 | -36.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 8 | 219 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 7 | 255 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Wk 6 | 236 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 208 | -31.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 140 | -99.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 206 | -33.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 243 | +3.5 | Won | |
| -114at FanDuel |
| 11 of 17· last season65%needs 53% to break even4 of 10 on the road |
| Record is last season's |
| -23.4Not beating its price |
| Under 239.5 pass + rush yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -114at DraftKings | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 53% to break even4 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -22.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +1300at BetRivers |
| 1 of 15· last 15 games7%needs 7% to break even1 of 10 on the road |
| -5.3Not beating its price |
| Over 37.5 pass attemptsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +166at DraftKings | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 38% to break even5 of 10 on the road | -8.5Not beating its price |
| Over 21.5 completionsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -112at BetRivers | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 53% to break even7 of 10 on the road | Record is this season's | -10.2Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 rushing yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +142at FanDuel | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 41% to break even4 of 10 on the road | -12.6Not beating its price |
| Over 33.5 pass attemptsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -151at DraftKings | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 60% to break even7 of 10 on the road | -15.6Not beating its price |
| Over 20.5 completionsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -196at BetOnline | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 66% to break even8 of 10 on the road | -16.4Not beating its price |
| Over 35.5 pass attemptsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +106at DraftKings | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 49% to break even5 of 10 on the road | -16.8Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 interceptions thrownAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +110at Bovada | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 48% to break even6 of 10 on the road | -16.9Not beating its price |
| Under 199.5 passing yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +189at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 35% to break even4 of 10 on the road | -17.5Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 passing TDsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -107at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 52% to break even5 of 10 on the road | -17.5Not beating its price |
| Over 249.5 passing yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +140at FanDuel | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 42% to break even4 of 10 on the road | -17.6Not beating its price |
| Over 234.5 passing yardsAaron Rodgers · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -112at DraftKings | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even6 of 10 on the road | -18.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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