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NCAAFGame lineSpread
UNT -9.5 (spread)
Won9 of 14last season · 64%
Best price+189Kalshi
Price needs34.6%wins to break even
Every game12 of 20this season and last
Trend score-1.8Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 35% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 35% to break even | 27%–86% | 25 points betterwon 60%, needs 35% | won by 22.8points |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 35% to break even | 27%–73% | 15 points betterwon 50%, needs 35% | won by 12.6points |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 35% to break even | 39%–78% | 25 points betterwon 60%, needs 35% | won by 14.3points |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 35% to break even | 22%–78% | 15 points betterwon 50%, needs 35% | won by 13points |
| Last season | 9 of 1464%needs 35% to break even | 43%–81% | 30 points betterwon 64%, needs 35% | won by 18.6points |
| Every game | 12 of 2060%needs 35% to break even | 42%–76% | 25 points betterwon 60%, needs 35% | won by 16.9points |
Games like tonight
Tonight UNT plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against NAVY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 3 of 9 on the road.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
UNT -9.5 (spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against UNT -9.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 9.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 10 |  CLT | 40 | +30.5 | Won |
| Oct 1 |  TLSA | 1 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 |  HCU | 49 | +39.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 |  TXST | -14 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  UNLV | 38 | +28.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 |  IU | -36 | -45.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 |  SDSU | 2 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Dec 5 |  TULN | -13 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 |  TEM | 27 | +17.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 |  RICE | 32 | +22.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 |  UAB | 29 | +19.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 |  NAVY | 14 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | CLT | 34 | +24.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 |  UTSA | 38 | +28.5 | Won |
| Oct 10 |  USF | -27 | -36.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 |  USA | 14 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  ARMY | 7 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 |  WSU | 49 | +39.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 |  WMU | 3 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 |  LAM | 51 | +41.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on North Texas Mean Green in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.