This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 35% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 35% to break even | 0%–35% | 35 points shortwon 0%, needs 35% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 35% to break even | 7%–46% | 15 points shortwon 20%, needs 35% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 35% to break even | 5%–33% | 21 points shortwon 13%, needs 35% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 35% to break even | 4%–50% | 18 points shortwon 17%, needs 35% |
| Last season | 1 of 147%needs 35% to break even | 2%–27% | 27 points shortwon 7%, needs 35% |
| Every game | 2 of 2010%needs 35% to break even | 3%–26% | 25 points shortwon 10%, needs 35% |
Tonight UNT plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against NAVY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
UNT points in each game against under 27.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | UNT points | Beat 27.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 10 | 50 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 1 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 30.5 team totalNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNT -6.5 1st half spreadNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET |
| 45 |
| -17.5 |
| Lost |
| Sep 26 | 63 | -35.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 35 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 44 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 16 | +11.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | 49 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 21 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 | 52 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 56 | -28.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | 53 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 31 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | 54 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 55 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Oct 10 | 36 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 36 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 45 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 59 | -31.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 33 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 51 | -23.5 | Lost |
| 13 of 14· last season93%needs 61% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 1.2Slight |
| Over 31.5 team totalNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 55% to break even | 3.0Slight |
| Over 34.5 team totalNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 46% to break even | 8.7Strong |
| Over 37.5 team totalNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 36% to break even | 5.2Good |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 10 of 14· last season71%needs 36% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 0.1Slight |
| UNT -7.5 spreadNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +202at Polymarket | 9 of 14· last season64%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.6Not beating its price |
| Over 68.5 game total, UNT gamesNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 39% to break even | -2.7Not beating its price |
| Over 65.5 game total, UNT gamesNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 44% to break even | -2.7Not beating its price |
| UNT -4.5 1st half spreadNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.1Not beating its price |
| UNT -0.5 1st quarter spreadNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 45% to break even | -4.0Not beating its price |
| UNT -3.5 1st half spreadNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +143at Polymarket | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.3Not beating its price |
| UNT -6.5 spreadNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.5Not beating its price |
| UNT to win moneylineNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | NV-125at Novig | 12 of 14· last season86%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.3Not beating its price |
| Over 64.5 game total, UNT gamesNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 48% to break even | -5.5Not beating its price |
| UNT -5.5 spreadNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.0Not beating its price |
| UNT +0.5 1st half spreadNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -139at Polymarket | 12 of 14· last season86%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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