This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 43% to break even | 5%–56% | 23 points shortwon 20%, needs 43% | 208.2total points |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 43% to break even | 7%–46% | 23 points shortwon 20%, needs 43% | 216.2total points |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 43% to break even | 8%–41% | 23 points shortwon 20%, needs 43% | 220.8total points |
| This season | 1 of 250%needs 43% to break even | 12%–88% | 7 points betterwon 50%, needs 43% | 231total points |
| Last season | 21 of 88 |
Tonight HOU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, on a back-to-back, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 13 of 45 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 234.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 220.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU -3.5 spreadHouston Rockets |
| 17%–32% |
| 19 points shortwon 24%, needs 43% |
| 223.5total points |
| Every game | 22 of 9024%needs 43% to break even | 18%–33% | 18 points shortwon 24%, needs 43% | 223.7total points |
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 234.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 | 224 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 238 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 1 | 176 | -58.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 29 | 192 | -42.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 211 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 24 | 220 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | 195 | -39.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 205 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 233 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 268 | +33.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 215 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 224 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 233 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 246 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 232 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 205 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 236 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 228 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 218 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 256 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 245 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 212 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 240 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 192 | -42.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 212 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | 222 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 212 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 265 | +30.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 205 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 228 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 2 | 241 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 220 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 221 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 225 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 23 | 230 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 214 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 206 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 207 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 10 | 197 | -37.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 218 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 208 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 207 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 232 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 218 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 190 | -44.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 210 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 207 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 215 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 250 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 217 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 229 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | 215 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 202 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 232 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 209 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 216 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 205 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 197 | -37.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 214 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 216 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 245 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 217 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 25 | 215 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 236 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 249 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 216 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 261 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 253 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Dec 11 | 228 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 231 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 215 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 216 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 258 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 230 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 204 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 206 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 221 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 218 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 230 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | 256 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 247 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 237 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 231 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 233 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 212 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 229 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 260 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 246 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 226 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 249 | +14.5 | Won | |
| +202at Polymarket |
| 45 of 88· last season51%needs 33% to break even20 of 45 on the road |
| Record is last season's |
| 0.2Slight |
| Under 222.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Today 8:30 PM ET | +177at Polymarket | 48 of 88· last season55%needs 36% to break even22 of 45 on the road | Record is last season's | -1.9Not beating its price |
| Under 224.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Today 8:30 PM ET | +149at Polymarket | 49 of 88· last season56%needs 40% to break even24 of 45 on the road | Record is last season's | 2.9Slight |
| Under 225.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Today 8:30 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 50 of 88· last season57%needs 43% to break even24 of 45 on the road | Record is last season's | 0.2Slight |
| Under 226.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Today 8:30 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 51 of 88· last season58%needs 44% to break even24 of 45 on the road | Record is last season's | -0.4Not beating its price |
| Under 227.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Today 8:30 PM ET | +107at Polymarket | 51 of 88· last season58%needs 48% to break even24 of 45 on the road | Record is last season's | -4.3Not beating its price |
| Under 228.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Today 8:30 PM ET | -101at Polymarket | 54 of 88· last season61%needs 50% to break even25 of 45 on the road | Record is last season's | -5.4Not beating its price |
| Under 230.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Today 8:30 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 59 of 88· last season67%needs 55% to break even27 of 45 on the road | Record is last season's | -8.7Not beating its price |
| Under 232.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Today 8:30 PM ET | -145at Polymarket | 64 of 88· last season73%needs 59% to break even30 of 45 on the road | Record is last season's | -9.5Not beating its price |
| Under 233.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Today 8:30 PM ET | -158at Polymarket | 67 of 88· last season76%needs 61% to break even32 of 45 on the road | Record is last season's | -4.1Not beating its price |
| Under 234.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Today 8:30 PM ET | -172at Polymarket | 67 of 88· last season76%needs 63% to break even32 of 45 on the road | Record is last season's | -5.9Not beating its price |
| Under 235.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Today 8:30 PM ET | -187at Polymarket | 67 of 88· last season76%needs 65% to break even32 of 45 on the road | Record is last season's | -7.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +140at Kalshi |
| 49 of 88· last season56%needs 42% to break even23 of 45 on the road |
| Record is last season's |
| -3.3Not beating its price |
| HOU -2.5 spreadHouston Rockets · Today 8:30 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 50 of 88· last season57%needs 43% to break even23 of 45 on the road | Record is last season's | -4.6Not beating its price |
| HOU -5.5 spreadHouston Rockets · Today 8:30 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 40 of 88· last season45%needs 35% to break even17 of 45 on the road | Record is last season's | -5.3Not beating its price |
| HOU -1.5 spreadHouston Rockets · Today 8:30 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 52 of 88· last season59%needs 46% to break even23 of 45 on the road | Record is last season's | -6.9Not beating its price |
| HOU to win moneylineHouston Rockets · Today 8:30 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 54 of 88· last season61%needs 49% to break even24 of 45 on the road | Record is last season's | -7.5Not beating its price |
| HOU -4.5 spreadHouston Rockets · Today 8:30 PM ET | +155at Polymarket | 44 of 88· last season50%needs 39% to break even19 of 45 on the road | Record is last season's | -8.7Not beating its price |
| HOU +4.5 spreadHouston Rockets · Today 8:30 PM ET | -172at Polymarket | 66 of 88· last season75%needs 63% to break even30 of 45 on the road | Record is last season's | -9.0Not beating its price |
| HOU +1.5 spreadHouston Rockets · Today 8:30 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 57 of 88· last season65%needs 52% to break even27 of 45 on the road | Record is last season's | -9.0Not beating its price |
| HOU +5.5 spreadHouston Rockets · Today 8:30 PM ET | -187at Polymarket | 67 of 88· last season76%needs 65% to break even31 of 45 on the road | Record is last season's | -10.5Not beating its price |
| HOU +2.5 spreadHouston Rockets · Today 8:30 PM ET | -129at Polymarket | 60 of 88· last season68%needs 56% to break even29 of 45 on the road | Record is last season's | -12.6Not beating its price |
| HOU +1.5 1st half spreadHouston Rockets · Today 8:30 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 56 of 88· last season64%needs 58% to break even28 of 45 on the road | Record is last season's | -12.8Not beating its price |
| Under 109.5 team totalHouston Rockets · Today 8:30 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 36% to break even16 of 45 on the road | -13.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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