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Won44 of 88last season · 50%
Best price+155Polymarket
Price needs39.2%wins to break even
Every game45 of 90this season and last
Trend score-8.7Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 39% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 39% to break even | 27%–86% | 21 points betterwon 60%, needs 39% | won by 5.4points |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 39% to break even | 19%–65% | 1 points betterwon 40%, needs 39% | won by 3.4points |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 39% to break even | 33%–72% | 14 points betterwon 53%, needs 39% | won by 6.7points |
| This season | 1 of 250%needs 39% to break even | 12%–88% | 11 points betterwon 50%, needs 39% | won by 11points |
| Last season | 44 of 8850%needs 39% to break even | 41%–59% | 11 points betterwon 50%, needs 39% | won by 4.7points |
| Every game | 45 of 9050%needs 39% to break even | 41%–59% | 11 points betterwon 50%, needs 39% | won by 4.8points |
Games like tonight
Tonight HOU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, on a back-to-back, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 19 of 45 on the road.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
HOU -4.5 (spread)2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against HOU -4.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 4.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 |  SA | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 21 |  DAL | 18 | +13.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| May 1 |  LAL | -20 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Apr 29 | LAL | 6 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 26 | LAL | 19 | +14.5 | Won |
| Apr 24 | LAL | -4 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Apr 21 | LAL | -7 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Apr 18 | LAL | -9 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Apr 12 |  MEM | 31 | +26.5 | Won |
| Apr 10 |  MIN | -4 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Apr 9 |  PHI | 11 | +6.5 | Won |
| Apr 7 |  PHX | 14 | +9.5 | Won |
| Apr 5 |  GS | 1 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Apr 3 |  UTAH | 34 | +29.5 | Won |
| Apr 1 |  MIL | 6 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 31 |  NY | 17 | +12.5 | Won |
| Mar 29 |  NO | 32 | +27.5 | Won |
| Mar 27 | MEM | 10 | +5.5 | Won |
| Mar 25 | MIN | -2 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Mar 23 |  CHI | -8 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Mar 21 |  MIA | 1 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 20 |  ATL | 22 | +17.5 | Won |
| Mar 18 | LAL | -8 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Mar 16 | LAL | -8 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Mar 13 | NO | 2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 11 |  DEN | -36 | -40.5 | Lost |
| Mar 10 |  TOR | 14 | +9.5 | Won |
| Mar 8 | SA | -25 | -29.5 | Lost |
| Mar 6 |  POR | 7 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 5 | GS | -2 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Mar 2 |  WSH | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 28 | MIA | -10 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Feb 26 |  ORL | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 25 |  SAC | 31 | +26.5 | Won |
| Feb 23 | UTAH | 20 | +15.5 | Won |
| Feb 21 | NY | -2 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Feb 19 |  CHA | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 |  LAC | -3 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Feb 10 | LAC | 7 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 7 |  OKC | 6 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 5 | CHA | -10 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Feb 4 |  BOS | -21 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Feb 2 |  IND | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 31 | DAL | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 29 | ATL | 18 | +13.5 | Won |
| Jan 28 | SA | -12 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Jan 26 | MEM | 9 | +4.5 | Won |
| Jan 23 |  DET | 7 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 22 | PHI | -6 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Jan 20 | SA | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 18 | NO | 9 | +4.5 | Won |
| Jan 16 | MIN | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 15 | OKC | -20 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Jan 13 | CHI | 6 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 11 | SAC | -13 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Jan 9 | POR | -6 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Jan 7 | POR | -1 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Jan 5 | PHX | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 3 | DAL | -6 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Jan 1 |  BKN | 24 | +19.5 | Won |
| Dec 29 | IND | 7 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 27 |  CLE | 17 | +12.5 | Won |
| Dec 25 | LAL | 23 | +18.5 | Won |
| Dec 23 | LAC | -20 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 | SAC | -1 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Dec 20 | DEN | 14 | +9.5 | Won |
| Dec 18 | NO | -5 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Dec 15 | DEN | -3 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Dec 11 | LAC | 2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 6 | DAL | -13 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Dec 5 | PHX | 19 | +14.5 | Won |
| Dec 3 | SAC | 26 | +21.5 | Won |
| Dec 1 | UTAH | -8 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | UTAH | 28 | +23.5 | Won |
| Nov 26 | GS | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 24 | PHX | 22 | +17.5 | Won |
| Nov 21 | DEN | -3 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 19 | CLE | 10 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | ORL | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 14 | POR | 24 | +19.5 | Won |
| Nov 12 | WSH | 23 | +18.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | MIL | 7 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 7 | SA | -11 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Nov 5 | MEM | 15 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 3 | DAL | 8 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | BOS | 27 | +22.5 | Won |
| Oct 29 | TOR | 18 | +13.5 | Won |
| Oct 27 | BKN | 28 | +23.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | DET | -4 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Oct 21 | OKC | -1 | -5.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Houston Rockets in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.