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NBAPlayer propPts + ast
John Collins under 12.5 pts + ast
Won27 of 70last season · 39%
Best price+130Bovada
Price needs43.5%wins to break even
Every game28 of 71this season and last
Trend score-20.0Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 43% to break even | 27%–86% | 17 points betterwon 60%, needs 43% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 43% to break even | 13%–56% | 13 points shortwon 30%, needs 43% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 43% to break even | 22%–61% | 3 points shortwon 40%, needs 43% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 43% to break even | 27%–100% | 57 points betterwon 100%, needs 43% |
| Last season | 27 of 7039%needs 43% to break even | 30%–48% | 5 points shortwon 39%, needs 43% |
| Every game | 28 of 7139%needs 43% to break even | 30%–49% | 4 points shortwon 39%, needs 43% |
Games like tonight
Tonight DET plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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John Collins under 12.5 pts + ast1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Pts + ast in each game against under 12.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Pts + ast | Beat 12.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 |  BOS | 7 | +5.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 15 |  GS | 11 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 12 | GS | 18 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Apr 10 |  POR | 0 | +12.5 | Won |
| Apr 8 |  OKC | 15 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 7 |  DAL | 13 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 5 |  SAC | 27 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Apr 2 |  SA | 15 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 31 | POR | 18 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Mar 29 |  MIL | 25 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Mar 27 |  IND | 6 | +6.5 | Won |
| Mar 25 |  TOR | 0 | +12.5 | Won |
| Mar 21 | DAL | 8 | +4.5 | Won |
| Mar 19 |  NO | 19 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Mar 18 | NO | 20 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Mar 16 | SA | 15 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 14 | SAC | 10 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 | NO | 16 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Feb 20 |  LAL | 12 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 19 |  DEN | 15 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 |  HOU | 13 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 10 | HOU | 18 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Feb 8 |  MIN | 15 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 6 | SAC | 23 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Feb 4 |  CLE | 19 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Feb 2 |  PHI | 17 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Feb 1 |  PHX | 18 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Jan 30 | DEN | 22 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Jan 27 |  UTAH | 12 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 25 |  BKN | 19 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Jan 22 | LAL | 14 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 20 |  CHI | 24 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Jan 19 |  WSH | 11 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 12 |  CHA | 4 | +8.5 | Won |
| Jan 10 |  DET | 26 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Jan 9 | BKN | 16 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 7 |  NY | 18 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Jan 5 | GS | 19 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Jan 3 | BOS | 22 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Jan 1 | UTAH | 8 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 30 | SAC | 17 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 26 | POR | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 23 | HOU | 18 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Dec 20 | LAL | 18 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Dec 18 | OKC | 22 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Dec 15 |  MEM | 11 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 11 | HOU | 11 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 6 | MIN | 12 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 5 | MEM | 18 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Dec 3 |  ATL | 16 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 1 |  MIA | 12 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 | DAL | 22 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 | MEM | 10 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 25 | LAL | 19 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | CLE | 5 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | CHA | 10 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 20 |  ORL | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 17 | PHI | 11 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | BOS | 17 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 14 | DAL | 8 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 12 | DEN | 2 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 10 | ATL | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | PHX | 21 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 6 | PHX | 14 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 4 | OKC | 18 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Nov 3 | MIA | 12 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 31 | NO | 15 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 28 | GS | 5 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | POR | 17 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | PHX | 12 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 22 | UTAH | 15 | -2.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 12.5 pts + astJohn Collins · Today 8:10 PM ET |  -170at Bovada | 43 of 70· last season61%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 13.5 pts + astJohn Collins · Today 8:10 PM ET |  -128at FanDuel | 41 of 70· last season59%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 14.5 pts + astJohn Collins · Today 8:10 PM ET | +100at Bovada | 39 of 70· last season56%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on John Collins in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.