This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 56% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 56% to break even | 14%–73% | 16 points shortwon 40%, needs 56% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 56% to break even | 35%–81% | 4 points betterwon 60%, needs 56% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 56% to break even | 33%–72% | 3 points shortwon 53%, needs 56% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 56% to break even | 0%–73% | 56 points shortwon 0%, needs 56% |
| Last season | 41 of 7059%needs 56% to break even | 49%–68% | 2 points betterwon 59%, needs 56% |
| Every game |
Tonight DET plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pts + ast in each game against over 13.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 pts + astJohn Collins |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 pts + rebJohn Collins |
| 48%–67% |
| 2 points betterwon 58%, needs 56% |
| Date | Opponent | Pts + ast | Beat 13.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 7 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 15 | 11 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 18 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 0 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 8 | 15 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 13 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 27 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | 15 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 18 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 25 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 6 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 0 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 8 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 19 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 20 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 15 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 10 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 16 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | 12 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 15 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 13 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 10 | 18 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 8 | 15 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 6 | 23 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 19 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | 17 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 18 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 22 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 12 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 19 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 14 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 24 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 11 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 4 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 26 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 16 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 18 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | 19 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 22 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | 8 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 17 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 9 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 18 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 18 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 22 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 11 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 11 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 12 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 18 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 16 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | 12 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 22 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 10 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 25 | 19 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 5 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 10 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 9 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 11 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 17 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 8 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 2 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 9 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 21 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 6 | 14 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 4 | 18 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 12 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 15 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | 5 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 17 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 12 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 15 | +1.5 | Won | |
| +130at Bovada |
| 27 of 70· last season39%needs 43% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -20.0Not beating its price |
| Under 13.5 pts + astJohn Collins · Today 8:10 PM ET | +100at Bovada | 29 of 70· last season41%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.2Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 pts + astJohn Collins · Today 8:10 PM ET | -130at Bovada | 31 of 70· last season44%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +132at FanDuel |
| 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 43% to break even |
| -4.0Not beating its price |
| Over 18.5 pts + rebJohn Collins · Today 8:10 PM ET | +100at BetRivers | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 50% to break even | -4.8Not beating its price |
| Over 19.5 pts + reb + astJohn Collins · Today 8:10 PM ET | -110at FanDuel | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 52% to break even | -7.3Not beating its price |
| Yes double-doubleJohn Collins · Today 8:10 PM ET | +1000at DraftKings | 3 of 70· last season4%needs 9% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.1Not beating its price |
| Over 14.5 pointsJohn Collins · Today 8:10 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 33 of 70· last season47%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.2Not beating its price |
| Over 17.5 pts + rebJohn Collins · Today 8:10 PM ET | -130at FanDuel | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 57% to break even | -9.3Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 assistsJohn Collins · Today 8:10 PM ET | +190at Bovada | 27 of 70· last season39%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.7Not beating its price |
| Over 6.5 reboundsJohn Collins · Today 8:10 PM ET | +195at BetMGM | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 34% to break even | -9.8Not beating its price |
| Over 16.5 pointsJohn Collins · Today 8:10 PM ET | +240at Caesars | 23 of 70· last season33%needs 29% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.9Not beating its price |
| Over 23.5 pts + reb + astJohn Collins · Today 8:10 PM ET | +179at BetOnline | 26 of 70· last season37%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.9Not beating its price |
| Over 5.5 reboundsJohn Collins · Today 8:10 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 46% to break even | -10.0Not beating its price |
| Over 5.5 reb + astJohn Collins · Today 8:10 PM ET | -210at Bovada | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 68% to break even | -10.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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