This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 9% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 9% to break even | 0%–35% | 9 points shortwon 0%, needs 9% |
| Last 10 games | 0 of 100%needs 9% to break even | 0%–21% | 9 points shortwon 0%, needs 9% |
| Last 15 games | 0 of 150%needs 9% to break even | 0%–15% | 9 points shortwon 0%, needs 9% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 9% to break even | 0%–73% | 9 points shortwon 0%, needs 9% |
| Last season | 3 of 704%needs 9% to break even | 2%–10% | 5 points shortwon 4%, needs 9% |
| Every game | 3 of 714% |
Tonight DET plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Double-double in each game against yes, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Double-double | Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 pts + rebJohn Collins |
| 2%–10% |
| 5 points shortwon 4%, needs 9% |
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| +132at FanDuel |
| 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 43% to break even |
| -4.0Not beating its price |
| Over 18.5 pts + rebJohn Collins · Today 8:10 PM ET | +100at BetRivers | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 50% to break even | -4.8Not beating its price |
| Over 19.5 pts + reb + astJohn Collins · Today 8:10 PM ET | -110at FanDuel | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 52% to break even | -7.3Not beating its price |
| Over 14.5 pointsJohn Collins · Today 8:10 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 33 of 70· last season47%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.2Not beating its price |
| Over 17.5 pts + rebJohn Collins · Today 8:10 PM ET | -130at FanDuel | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 57% to break even | -9.3Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 assistsJohn Collins · Today 8:10 PM ET | +190at Bovada | 27 of 70· last season39%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.7Not beating its price |
| Over 6.5 reboundsJohn Collins · Today 8:10 PM ET | +195at BetMGM | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 34% to break even | -9.8Not beating its price |
| Over 16.5 pointsJohn Collins · Today 8:10 PM ET | +240at Caesars | 23 of 70· last season33%needs 29% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.9Not beating its price |
| Over 23.5 pts + reb + astJohn Collins · Today 8:10 PM ET | +179at BetOnline | 26 of 70· last season37%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.9Not beating its price |
| Over 5.5 reboundsJohn Collins · Today 8:10 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 46% to break even | -10.0Not beating its price |
| Over 5.5 reb + astJohn Collins · Today 8:10 PM ET | -210at Bovada | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 68% to break even | -10.6Not beating its price |
| Over 15.5 pointsJohn Collins · Today 8:10 PM ET | +205at BetRivers | 28 of 70· last season40%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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