This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 30% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 30% to break even | 27%–86% | 30 points betterwon 60%, needs 30% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 30% to break even | 35%–81% | 30 points betterwon 60%, needs 30% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 30% to break even | 28%–67% | 16 points betterwon 47%, needs 30% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 30% to break even | 0%–73% | 30 points shortwon 0%, needs 30% |
| Last season | 24 of 8229%needs 30% to break even | 22%–38% | 1 points shortwon 29%, needs 30% |
| Every game | 24 of 8329%needs 30% to break even | 21%–38% | 1 points shortwon 29%, needs 30% |
Tonight MEM plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against GS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 245.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 224.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MEM +5.5 1st quarter spreadMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 245.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 226 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 | 233 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 248 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 8 | 255 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | 268 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 246 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 224 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | 249 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 236 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 249 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 228 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 221 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 253 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 225 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 229 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 243 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 239 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 236 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 232 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 268 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Mar 9 | 241 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 243 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 236 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 227 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 231 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | 229 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 245 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 23 | 237 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 256 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | 237 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 238 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 227 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 237 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 6 | 250 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 254 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | 265 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 245 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 220 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 209 | -36.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 207 | -38.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 260 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 246 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 235 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 229 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 201 | -44.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 233 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 215 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 211 | -34.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 234 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 249 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 30 | 275 | +29.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 228 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 229 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 265 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 222 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 252 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 17 | 226 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | 224 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 256 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 215 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 205 | -40.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 245 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 222 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 219 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 261 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 240 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 198 | -47.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 233 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | 212 | -33.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 208 | -37.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 226 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 253 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 214 | -31.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 222 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 233 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 220 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 221 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 229 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 227 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 249 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 231 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 260 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 250 | +4.5 | Won | |
| 21 of 82· last season26%needs 31% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -23.3Not beating its price |
| Under 225.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +229at Kalshi | 22 of 82· last season27%needs 30% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.4Not beating its price |
| Under 226 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +190at Fanatics | 22 of 80· last season28%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.8Not beating its price |
| Under 226.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +180at Fanatics | 24 of 82· last season29%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.7Not beating its price |
| Under 227 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +175at Fanatics | 24 of 79· last season30%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.1Not beating its price |
| Under 227.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +193at Polymarket | 27 of 82· last season33%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.5Not beating its price |
| Under 228 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +165at Fanatics | 27 of 80· last season34%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.4Not beating its price |
| Under 228.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +155at Fanatics | 29 of 82· last season35%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.5Not beating its price |
| Under 229 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +150at Fanatics | 29 of 77· last season38%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.3Not beating its price |
| Under 229.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 34 of 82· last season41%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.3Not beating its price |
| Under 230 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +135at Fanatics | 34 of 82· last season41%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.0Not beating its price |
| Under 230.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +143at Polymarket | 34 of 82· last season41%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.6Not beating its price |
| Under 231 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +125at Fanatics | 34 of 80· last season43%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.5Not beating its price |
| Under 231.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 36 of 82· last season44%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.6Not beating its price |
| Under 232 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +115at Fanatics | 36 of 81· last season44%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.1Not beating its price |
| Under 232.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 37 of 82· last season45%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.8Not beating its price |
| Under 233 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +105at Fanatics | 37 of 78· last season47%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.7Not beating its price |
| Under 233.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 41 of 82· last season50%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.0Not beating its price |
| Under 234 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | -105at Fanatics | 41 of 81· last season51%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.5Not beating its price |
| Under 234.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 42 of 82· last season51%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.7Not beating its price |
| Under 235 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | -115at Fanatics | 42 of 81· last season52%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.4Not beating its price |
| Under 235.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +107at Polymarket | 43 of 82· last season52%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.4Not beating its price |
| Under 236 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | -125at Fanatics | 43 of 79· last season54%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.7Not beating its price |
| Under 236.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | -125at Fanatics | 46 of 82· last season56%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.0Not beating its price |
| Under 237 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | -135at Fanatics | 46 of 79· last season58%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.3Not beating its price |
| Under 237.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 49 of 82· last season60%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.0Not beating its price |
| Under 238 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | -145at Fanatics | 49 of 81· last season60%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.4Not beating its price |
| Under 238.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 50 of 82· last season61%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.5Not beating its price |
| Under 239 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | -160at Fanatics | 50 of 81· last season62%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.3Not beating its price |
| Under 239.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 51 of 82· last season62%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.4Not beating its price |
| Under 240 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | -170at Fanatics | 51 of 81· last season63%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.4Not beating its price |
| Under 240.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | -172at Polymarket | 52 of 82· last season63%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.6Not beating its price |
| Under 241 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | -190at Fanatics | 52 of 81· last season64%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.5Not beating its price |
| Under 241.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 53 of 82· last season65%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.6Not beating its price |
| Under 242.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | -198at FanDuel | 53 of 82· last season65%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 61 of 82· last season74%needs 59% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -8.6Not beating its price |
| Under 111.5 team totalMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 38% to break even | -12.6Not beating its price |
| Under 119.5 team totalMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 56 of 82· last season68%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.7Not beating its price |
| Under 115.5 team totalMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 47 of 82· last season57%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.7Not beating its price |
| Under 113.5 team totalMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 44% to break even | -15.0Not beating its price |
| Under 121.5 team totalMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | -239at Kalshi | 61 of 82· last season74%needs 71% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.7Not beating its price |
| Under 117.5 team totalMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 50 of 82· last season61%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.5Not beating its price |
| Over 117.5 team totalMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 32 of 82· last season39%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.5Not beating its price |
| Over 121.5 team totalMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 21 of 82· last season26%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.2Not beating its price |
| MEM -5.5 spreadMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +240at Kalshi | 18 of 82· last season22%needs 29% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.5Not beating its price |
| MEM -2.5 1st half spreadMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 27 of 82· last season33%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.4Not beating its price |
| MEM -4.5 spreadMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +200at BetMGM | 21 of 82· last season26%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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