This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 63% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 63% to break even | 44%–95% | 17 points betterwon 80%, needs 63% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 63% to break even | 44%–87% | 7 points betterwon 70%, needs 63% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 63% to break even | 46%–83% | 4 points betterwon 67%, needs 63% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 63% to break even | 27%–100% | 37 points betterwon 100%, needs 63% |
| Last season | 61 of 8274%needs 63% to break even | 66%–81% | 12 points betterwon 74%, needs 63% |
| Every game | 62 of 8375%needs 63% to break even | 66%–82% | 12 points betterwon 75%, needs 63% |
Tonight MEM plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against GS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1Q margin in each game against mem 1q +5.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 245.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | 1Q margin | Beat -5.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | -2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 | -6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | -3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 8 | -4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | 12 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | -9 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | -5 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | -18 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | -3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | -2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | -2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | -19 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | -10 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | -4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | -2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 1 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | -2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | -2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | -12 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 0 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 9 | -2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 18 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | -4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 9 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 0 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 27 | 14 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Feb 25 | -3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 23 | -8 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | -6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | -4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | -2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 0 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | -1 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 6 | 11 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | -3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | 7 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | -9 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 4 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | -8 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 1 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 0 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 1 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 17 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 16 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 11 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 10 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | -7 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | -10 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 8 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | -8 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 6 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 2 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | -10 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 6 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | -3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 5 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 17 | 2 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | -2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | -5 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 20 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | -3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | -4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | -4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | -11 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | -14 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | -4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | -1 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 13 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 1 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 4 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | -8 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | -12 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 8 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 10 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | -12 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | -7 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | -3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | -4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 1 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 1 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 2 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | -19 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | -3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 30% to break even |
| -1.9Not beating its price |
| Over 244.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +215at Bovada | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 32% to break even | -2.4Not beating its price |
| Over 243.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +200at Bovada | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 33% to break even | -3.9Not beating its price |
| Over 244 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +200at Fanatics | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 33% to break even | -3.9Not beating its price |
| Over 242.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +180at Bovada | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 36% to break even | -5.7Not beating its price |
| Over 243 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +180at Fanatics | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 36% to break even | -6.0Not beating its price |
| Over 241.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 38% to break even | -7.4Not beating its price |
| Over 242 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +165at Fanatics | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 38% to break even | -7.6Not beating its price |
| Over 240.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +155at Polymarket | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 39% to break even | -8.7Not beating its price |
| Over 241 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +155at Fanatics | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 39% to break even | -8.9Not beating its price |
| Over 232.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | -129at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 56% to break even | -9.8Not beating its price |
| Over 239.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 42% to break even | -10.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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