This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 34% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 34% to break even | 14%–73% | 6 points betterwon 40%, needs 34% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 34% to break even | 13%–56% | 4 points shortwon 30%, needs 34% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 34% to break even | 8%–41% | 14 points shortwon 20%, needs 34% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 34% to break even | 27%–100% | 66 points betterwon 100%, needs 34% |
| Last season | 21 of 8226%needs 34% to break even | 19%–34% | 8 points shortwon 26%, needs 34% |
| Every game | 22 of 8327%needs 34% to break even | 19%–35% | 7 points shortwon 27%, needs 34% |
Tonight MEM plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against GS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
MEM points in each game against over 121.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | MEM points | Beat 121.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 123 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 | 101 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 101 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 8 | 119 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 126 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 115 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 96 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | 119 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 105 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 125 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 109 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 98 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 107 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 101 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 112 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 125 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 107 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 110 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 112 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 129 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 9 | 115 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 120 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 114 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 110 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 125 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 27 | 124 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 25 | 112 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 23 | 114 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 120 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 123 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 116 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 113 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 115 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 6 | 115 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 129 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | 137 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 114 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 106 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 97 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 99 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 127 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 122 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 126 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 111 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 103 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 116 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 98 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 106 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 114 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 121 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 136 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 112 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 125 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 137 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 103 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 122 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 17 | 116 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | 121 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 126 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 119 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 107 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 119 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 115 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 112 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 133 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 115 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 102 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 137 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 101 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 100 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 95 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 120 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 100 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 118 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 109 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 106 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 104 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 112 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 114 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 118 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 128 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 114 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 128 | +6.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 111.5 team totalMemphis Grizzlies · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 38% to break even | -12.6Not beating its price | ||
| Under 113.5 team totalMemphis Grizzlies · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 45% to break even | -15.9Not beating its price | ||
| Under 115.5 team totalMemphis Grizzlies · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 47 of 82· last season57%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 117.5 team totalMemphis Grizzlies · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 50 of 82· last season61%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 119.5 team totalMemphis Grizzlies · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 56 of 82· last season68%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.