This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 54% to break even | 14%–73% | 14 points shortwon 40%, needs 54% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 54% to break even | 13%–56% | 24 points shortwon 30%, needs 54% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 54% to break even | 28%–67% | 8 points shortwon 47%, needs 54% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 54% to break even | 27%–100% | 46 points betterwon 100%, needs 54% |
| Last season | 43 of 8252%needs 54% to break even | 43%–61% | 2 points shortwon 52%, needs 54% |
| Every game | 44 of 8353%needs 54% to break even | 44%–62% | 1 points shortwon 53%, needs 54% |
Tonight MEM plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against GS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 235.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 229.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 111.5 team totalMemphis Grizzlies · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 235.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 226 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 | 233 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 248 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 8 | 255 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 268 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 246 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 224 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 249 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 236 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 249 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 228 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 221 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 253 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 225 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 229 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 243 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 239 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 236 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 232 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 268 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | 241 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 243 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 236 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 227 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 231 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 27 | 229 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 25 | 245 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 23 | 237 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 256 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 237 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 238 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 227 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 237 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 6 | 250 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 254 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 265 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 245 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 220 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 209 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | 207 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 260 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | 246 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 235 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 229 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 201 | +34.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 233 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 215 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 211 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 234 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 249 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 275 | -39.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 228 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 229 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 265 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 222 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 252 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 17 | 226 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 224 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 256 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 215 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 205 | +30.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 245 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 222 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 219 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 261 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 240 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 198 | +37.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 233 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 212 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 208 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 226 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 253 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 214 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 222 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 233 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 220 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 221 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 229 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 227 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 249 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 231 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 260 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 250 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 65% to break even |
| -16.9Not beating its price |
| Over 230.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -164at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 62% to break even | -14.5Not beating its price |
| Over 231.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 60% to break even | -12.7Not beating its price |
| Over 232.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -134at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 57% to break even | -10.7Not beating its price |
| Over 233.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 54% to break even | -16.1Not beating its price |
| Over 234.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -109at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 52% to break even | -14.3Not beating its price |
| Over 235.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -101at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 50% to break even | -12.8Not beating its price |
| Over 237.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 46% to break even | -14.6Not beating its price |
| Over 238.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 45% to break even | -13.9Not beating its price |
| Over 239.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 42% to break even | -10.8Not beating its price |
| Over 240.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +155at Polymarket | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 39% to break even | -8.7Not beating its price |
| Over 241.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 38% to break even | -7.4Not beating its price |
| Over 243.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +202at Polymarket | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 33% to break even | -3.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 38% to break even |
| -12.6Not beating its price |
| Under 115.5 team totalMemphis Grizzlies · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 47 of 82· last season57%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.7Not beating its price |
| Under 119.5 team totalMemphis Grizzlies · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 56 of 82· last season68%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.5Not beating its price |
| Under 113.5 team totalMemphis Grizzlies · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 45% to break even | -15.9Not beating its price |
| Over 121.5 team totalMemphis Grizzlies · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 21 of 82· last season26%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.3Not beating its price |
| Over 117.5 team totalMemphis Grizzlies · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 32 of 82· last season39%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.5Not beating its price |
| Under 117.5 team totalMemphis Grizzlies · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 50 of 82· last season61%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.4Not beating its price |
| Over 119.5 team totalMemphis Grizzlies · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 26 of 82· last season32%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.9Not beating its price |
| Over 113.5 team totalMemphis Grizzlies · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 47 of 82· last season57%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.0Not beating its price |
| Over 115.5 team totalMemphis Grizzlies · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 35 of 82· last season43%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.3Not beating its price |
| MEM -3.5 spreadMemphis Grizzlies · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +177at Polymarket | 22 of 82· last season27%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.9Not beating its price |
| MEM to win moneylineMemphis Grizzlies · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +140at Fanatics | 25 of 82· last season30%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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