This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 40% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 40% to break even | 5%–56% | 20 points shortwon 20%, needs 40% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 40% to break even | 7%–46% | 20 points shortwon 20%, needs 40% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1436%needs 40% to break even | 19%–57% | 4 points shortwon 36%, needs 40% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 40% to break even | 27%–100% | 60 points betterwon 100%, needs 40% |
| Last season | 29 of 7738%needs 40% to break even | 29%–47% | 2 points shortwon 38%, needs 40% |
| Every game | 30 of 7838%needs 40% to break even | 30%–48% | 2 points shortwon 38%, needs 40% |
Tonight MEM plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against GS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 229, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 227.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MEM +5.5 1st quarter spreadMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 229 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 226 | +3 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 | 233 | -4 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 248 | -19 | Lost | |
| Apr 8 | 255 | -26 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 268 | -39 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 246 | -17 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 224 | +5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 249 | -20 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 236 | -7 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 249 | -20 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 228 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 221 | +8 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 253 | -24 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 225 | +4 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 229 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 18 | 243 | -14 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 239 | -10 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 236 | -7 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 232 | -3 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 268 | -39 | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | 241 | -12 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 243 | -14 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 236 | -7 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 227 | +2 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 231 | -2 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | 229 | 0 | Tie | |
| Feb 25 | 245 | -16 | Lost | |
| Feb 23 | 237 | -8 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 256 | -27 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 237 | -8 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 238 | -9 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 227 | +2 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 237 | -8 | Lost | |
| Feb 6 | 250 | -21 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 254 | -25 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 265 | -36 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 245 | -16 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 220 | +9 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 209 | +20 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | 207 | +22 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 260 | -31 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | 246 | -17 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 235 | -6 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 229 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jan 11 | 201 | +28 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 233 | -4 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 215 | +14 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 211 | +18 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 234 | -5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 249 | -20 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 275 | -46 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 228 | +1 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 229 | 0 | Tie | |
| Dec 23 | 265 | -36 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 222 | +7 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 252 | -23 | Lost | |
| Dec 17 | 226 | +3 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 224 | +5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 256 | -27 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 215 | +14 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 205 | +24 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 245 | -16 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 222 | +7 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 219 | +10 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 261 | -32 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 240 | -11 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 198 | +31 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 233 | -4 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | 212 | +17 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 208 | +21 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 226 | +3 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 253 | -24 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 214 | +15 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 222 | +7 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 233 | -4 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 220 | +9 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 221 | +8 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 229 | 0 | Tie | |
| Oct 29 | 227 | +2 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 249 | -20 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 231 | -2 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 260 | -31 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 250 | -21 | Lost | |
| 55 of 82· last season67%needs 66% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -13.1Not beating its price |
| Over 228.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | -188at FanDuel | 53 of 82· last season65%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.4Not beating its price |
| Over 229 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | -185at Fanatics | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 65% to break even | -15.4Not beating its price |
| Over 229.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | -170at Fanatics | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 63% to break even | -15.3Not beating its price |
| Over 230 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | -165at Fanatics | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 62% to break even | -14.6Not beating its price |
| Over 230.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | -160at Fanatics | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 62% to break even | -13.9Not beating its price |
| Over 231 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | -150at Fanatics | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 60% to break even | -12.7Not beating its price |
| Over 231.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | -145at Fanatics | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 59% to break even | -12.2Not beating its price |
| Over 232 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | -140at Fanatics | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 58% to break even | -11.6Not beating its price |
| Over 232.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | -135at Fanatics | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 57% to break even | -10.9Not beating its price |
| Over 233 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | -125at Fanatics | 7 of 9· last 10 games, 1 skipped78%needs 56% to break even | -12.9Not beating its price |
| Over 233.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | -120at Fanatics | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 55% to break even | -16.3Not beating its price |
| Over 234 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | -115at Fanatics | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even | -15.4Not beating its price |
| Over 234.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 50% to break even | -12.3Not beating its price |
| Over 235 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | -105at Fanatics | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 51% to break even | -13.6Not beating its price |
| Over 235.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +100at Fanatics | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 50% to break even | -12.5Not beating its price |
| Over 236 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +105at Fanatics | 6 of 9· last 10 games, 1 skipped67%needs 49% to break even | -14.0Not beating its price |
| Over 236.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +105at Fanatics | 36 of 82· last season44%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.2Not beating its price |
| Over 237 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +110at Fanatics | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 48% to break even | -15.6Not beating its price |
| Over 237.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +115at Fanatics | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 47% to break even | -14.9Not beating its price |
| Over 238 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +120at Fanatics | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 45% to break even | -14.0Not beating its price |
| Over 238.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +125at Fanatics | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 44% to break even | -13.2Not beating its price |
| Over 239 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +130at Fanatics | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 43% to break even | -12.4Not beating its price |
| Over 239.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +135at Fanatics | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 43% to break even | -11.6Not beating its price |
| Over 240 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +140at Fanatics | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 42% to break even | -10.9Not beating its price |
| Over 240.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +150at Bovada | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 40% to break even | -9.5Not beating its price |
| Over 241 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +155at Fanatics | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 39% to break even | -8.9Not beating its price |
| Over 241.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +165at Bovada | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 38% to break even | -7.6Not beating its price |
| Over 242 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +165at Fanatics | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 38% to break even | -7.6Not beating its price |
| Over 242.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +180at Bovada | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 36% to break even | -5.7Not beating its price |
| Over 243 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +180at Fanatics | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 36% to break even | -6.0Not beating its price |
| Over 243.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +200at Bovada | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 33% to break even | -3.9Not beating its price |
| Over 244 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +200at Fanatics | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 33% to break even | -3.9Not beating its price |
| Over 244.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +215at Bovada | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 32% to break even | -2.4Not beating its price |
| Over 245.5 game total, MEM gamesMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +220at Fanatics | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 31% to break even | -2.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 61 of 82· last season74%needs 61% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -10.5Not beating its price |
| Under 111.5 team totalMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 37% to break even | -11.7Not beating its price |
| Under 119.5 team totalMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 56 of 82· last season68%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.8Not beating its price |
| Under 115.5 team totalMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 47 of 82· last season57%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.7Not beating its price |
| Under 113.5 team totalMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 43% to break even | -14.1Not beating its price |
| Under 121.5 team totalMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | -228at Kalshi | 61 of 82· last season74%needs 70% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.8Not beating its price |
| MEM -0.5 3rd quarter spreadMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 40 of 82· last season49%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.3Not beating its price |
| Under 117.5 team totalMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 50 of 82· last season61%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.5Not beating its price |
| MEM -5.5 spreadMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +280at Kalshi | 18 of 82· last season22%needs 26% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.6Not beating its price |
| MEM +1.5 2nd quarter spreadMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 46 of 82· last season56%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.8Not beating its price |
| Over 121.5 team totalMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 21 of 82· last season26%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.3Not beating its price |
| Over 117.5 team totalMemphis Grizzlies · Today 10:10 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 32 of 82· last season39%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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