This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 39% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 39% to break even | 5%–56% | 19 points shortwon 20%, needs 39% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 39% to break even | 7%–46% | 19 points shortwon 20%, needs 39% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 39% to break even | 13%–48% | 12 points shortwon 27%, needs 39% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 39% to break even | 27%–100% | 61 points betterwon 100%, needs 39% |
| Last season | 28 of 8931%needs 39% to break even | 24%–40% | 8 points shortwon 31%, needs 39% |
| Every game | 29 of 9032%needs 39% to break even | 25%–41% | 7 points shortwon 32%, needs 39% |
Tonight BOS plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 230.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 213.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 56.5 1st quarter totalBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 230.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 234 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 2 | 209 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 30 | 199 | -31.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 28 | 210 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 224 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 24 | 208 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | 208 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 214 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 221 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 262 | +31.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 218 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 215 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 216 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 234 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 276 | +45.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 214 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 213 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 211 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 228 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 194 | -36.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 229 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 219 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 232 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 211 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 206 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 241 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 207 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 220 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 207 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 2 | 189 | -41.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 212 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | 259 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Feb 25 | 187 | -43.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 178 | -52.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 200 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 231 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 229 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 200 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 6 | 194 | -36.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 207 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 210 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 186 | -44.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 205 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 223 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 196 | -34.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 225 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 256 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 223 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 207 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 238 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 233 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | 194 | -36.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 195 | -35.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 242 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 224 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 216 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 261 | +30.5 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | 226 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 248 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 222 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 262 | +31.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 198 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 208 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | 245 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 217 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 217 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 234 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 231 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 247 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 240 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 232 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 234 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 231 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 267 | +36.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | 218 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | 212 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 239 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 226 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 202 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 218 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 233 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 243 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 208 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 229 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 217 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 230 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 212 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 232 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 200 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 233 | +2.5 | Won | |
| 34 of 89· last season38%needs 29% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -4.3Not beating its price |
| Under 214.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | +225at Bovada | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 31% to break even | -1.4Not beating its price |
| Under 215.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | +200at Bovada | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 33% to break even | -2.1Not beating its price |
| Under 216.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | +185at Bovada | 39 of 89· last season44%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.7Not beating its price |
| Under 217.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | +170at Bovada | 42 of 89· last season47%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.8Not beating its price |
| Under 218.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | +150at Bovada | 45 of 89· last season51%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.3Not beating its price |
| Under 219.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | +140at Bovada | 46 of 89· last season52%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.6Not beating its price |
| Under 220.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | +125at Bovada | 47 of 89· last season53%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.0Not beating its price |
| Under 221.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 46% to break even | -4.2Not beating its price |
| Under 222.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | +107at Polymarket | 49 of 89· last season55%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.9Not beating its price |
| Under 223 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | +100at Bovada | 49 of 87· last season56%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.2Not beating its price |
| Under 223.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | -101at Polymarket | 51 of 89· last season57%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.2Not beating its price |
| Under 224 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | -110at Bovada | 7 of 9· last 10 games, 1 skipped78%needs 52% to break even | -4.8Not beating its price |
| Under 224.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | -110at Fanatics | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 52% to break even | -1.4Not beating its price |
| Under 225 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | -120at Bovada | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 55% to break even | -3.3Not beating its price |
| Under 225.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | -125at Bovada | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 56% to break even | -4.2Not beating its price |
| Under 226 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | -130at Bovada | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 57% to break even | -4.8Not beating its price |
| Under 226.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | -135at Bovada | 56 of 89· last season63%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.5Not beating its price |
| Under 227.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | -150at Bovada | 56 of 89· last season63%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.9Not beating its price |
| Under 228.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | -164at Polymarket | 57 of 89· last season64%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.6Not beating its price |
| Under 229.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | -182at FanDuel | 60 of 89· last season67%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.2Not beating its price |
| Under 230.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | -196at FanDuel | 61 of 89· last season69%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 47% to break even |
| 10.8Strong |
| Under 58.5 1st quarter totalBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 56% to break even | 4.0Good |
| Under 113.5 1st half totalBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 49% to break even | 3.2Good |
| Under 117.5 1st half totalBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 62% to break even | 1.0Slight |
| BOS -5.5 1st half spreadBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 46 of 89· last season52%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | 0.2Slight |
| Under 60.5 1st quarter totalBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 64% to break even | -1.2Not beating its price |
| Under 115.5 1st half totalBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 55% to break even | -1.3Not beating its price |
| BOS -0.5 1st quarter spreadBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 56 of 89· last season63%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.9Not beating its price |
| BOS -1.5 2nd quarter spreadBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 51% to break even | -2.9Not beating its price |
| BOS +0.5 1st quarter spreadBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 61 of 89· last season69%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.4Not beating its price |
| BOS +0.5 2nd quarter spreadBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 61 of 89· last season69%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.4Not beating its price |
| BOS +1.5 2nd quarter spreadBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 64 of 89· last season72%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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