This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 42% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 42% to break even | 27%–86% | 18 points betterwon 60%, needs 42% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 42% to break even | 35%–81% | 18 points betterwon 60%, needs 42% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 42% to break even | 39%–78% | 18 points betterwon 60%, needs 42% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 42% to break even | 0%–73% | 42 points shortwon 0%, needs 42% |
| Last season | 46 of 8952%needs 42% to break even | 43%–60% | 10 points betterwon 52%, needs 42% |
| Every game | 46 of 9051%needs 42% to break even | 43%–60% | 9 points betterwon 51%, needs 42% |
Tonight BOS plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 219.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 219.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 234 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 2 | 209 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Apr 30 | 199 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Apr 28 | 210 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 224 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 24 | 208 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Apr 21 | 208 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 214 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 221 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 262 | -42.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 218 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 215 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 216 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 234 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | 276 | -56.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 214 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 213 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 211 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 228 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 194 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 229 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 219 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 232 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 211 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 206 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 241 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 207 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 220 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 207 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Mar 2 | 189 | +30.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 212 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Feb 27 | 259 | -39.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 187 | +32.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 178 | +41.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 200 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 231 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 229 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 200 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Feb 6 | 194 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 207 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 210 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 186 | +33.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 205 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 223 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 196 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 225 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 256 | -36.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | 223 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 207 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 238 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 233 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 194 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 195 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 242 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 224 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 216 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 261 | -41.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 226 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 248 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 222 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 262 | -42.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 198 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 208 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Dec 19 | 245 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | 217 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 11 | 217 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 234 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 231 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | 247 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 240 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 232 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 234 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 231 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 267 | -47.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 218 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 212 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 239 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 226 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 202 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 218 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 233 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 243 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 208 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 229 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 217 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 230 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 212 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 232 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 200 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 233 | -13.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.