This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 59% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 59% to break even | 44%–95% | 21 points betterwon 80%, needs 59% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 59% to break even | 54%–93% | 21 points betterwon 80%, needs 59% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 59% to break even | 59%–92% | 21 points betterwon 80%, needs 59% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 59% to break even | 27%–100% | 41 points betterwon 100%, needs 59% |
| Last season | 61 of 8969%needs 59% to break even | 60%–76% | 10 points betterwon 69%, needs 59% |
| Every game | 62 of 9069%needs 59% to break even | 60%–76% | 10 points betterwon 69%, needs 59% |
Tonight BOS plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
2Q margin in each game against bos 2q +0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 2Q margin |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 56.5 1st quarter totalBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET |
| Beat -0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 12 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 2 | 8 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Apr 30 | -12 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 28 | 5 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 24 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 21 | -11 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 12 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | -4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 5 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 8 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 8 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 7 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | -12 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 5 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 21 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 11 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 6 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | -9 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 2 | 4 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 14 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Feb 27 | 6 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 25 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 9 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 10 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 19 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 19 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Feb 8 | 4 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 6 | -7 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 6 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 5 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 14 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 11 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 6 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | -6 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 8 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | -6 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | 10 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | -11 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 24 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | -4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 4 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | -6 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 30 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 9 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 25 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | -9 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | -14 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | -4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 10 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 17 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 5 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 6 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 5 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 18 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | -15 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 7 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 13 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | -9 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 5 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 21 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 6 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | -5 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 17 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | -11 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | -28 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | -8 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 47% to break even |
| 10.8Strong |
| Under 58.5 1st quarter totalBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 56% to break even | 4.0Good |
| Under 113.5 1st half totalBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 49% to break even | 3.2Good |
| Under 117.5 1st half totalBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 62% to break even | 1.0Slight |
| BOS -5.5 1st half spreadBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 46 of 89· last season52%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.7Not beating its price |
| Under 115.5 1st half totalBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 55% to break even | -1.3Not beating its price |
| Under 214.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | +225at Bovada | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 31% to break even | -1.4Not beating its price |
| Under 224.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | -110at Fanatics | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 52% to break even | -1.4Not beating its price |
| Under 216.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | +185at Bovada | 39 of 89· last season44%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.7Not beating its price |
| BOS -0.5 1st quarter spreadBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 56 of 89· last season63%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.9Not beating its price |
| Under 215.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | +200at Bovada | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 33% to break even | -2.1Not beating its price |
| Under 60.5 1st quarter totalBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 65% to break even | -2.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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