This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 35% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 35% to break even | 27%–86% | 25 points betterwon 60%, needs 35% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 35% to break even | 35%–81% | 25 points betterwon 60%, needs 35% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 35% to break even | 33%–72% | 18 points betterwon 53%, needs 35% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 35% to break even | 0%–73% | 35 points shortwon 0%, needs 35% |
| Last season | 39 of 8944%needs 35% to break even | 35%–53% | 9 points betterwon 44%, needs 35% |
| Every game | 39 of 9043%needs 35% to break even | 35%–52% | 8 points betterwon 43%, needs 35% |
Tonight BOS plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 216.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 216.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 56.5 1st quarter totalBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 216.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 234 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 2 | 209 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Apr 30 | 199 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Apr 28 | 210 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 224 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 24 | 208 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Apr 21 | 208 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 214 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 221 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 262 | -45.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 218 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 215 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 216 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 234 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | 276 | -59.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 214 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 213 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 211 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 228 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 194 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 229 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 219 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 232 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 211 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 206 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 241 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 207 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 220 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 207 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 2 | 189 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 212 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 27 | 259 | -42.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 187 | +29.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 178 | +38.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 200 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 231 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 229 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 200 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Feb 6 | 194 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 207 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 210 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 186 | +30.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 205 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 223 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 196 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 225 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 256 | -39.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | 223 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 207 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 238 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 233 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 194 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 195 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 242 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 224 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 216 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 261 | -44.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 226 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 248 | -31.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 222 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 262 | -45.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 198 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 208 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Dec 19 | 245 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | 217 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 217 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 234 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 231 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | 247 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 240 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 232 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 234 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 231 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 267 | -50.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 218 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | 212 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 239 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 226 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 202 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 218 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 233 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 243 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 208 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 229 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 217 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 230 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 212 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 232 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 200 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 233 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| 50 of 89· last season56%needs 66% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -36.6Not beating its price |
| Over 217.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -180at FanDuel | 47 of 89· last season53%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -35.6Not beating its price |
| Over 218.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -166at FanDuel | 44 of 89· last season49%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -36.0Not beating its price |
| Over 219.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -158at FanDuel | 43 of 89· last season48%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -35.1Not beating its price |
| Over 220.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -142at FanDuel | 42 of 89· last season47%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.9Not beating its price |
| Over 221.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -130at FanDuel | 41 of 89· last season46%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.4Not beating its price |
| Over 222.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -120at FanDuel | 40 of 89· last season45%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.8Not beating its price |
| Over 223 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -130at Bovada | 38 of 87· last season44%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.9Not beating its price |
| Over 223.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -110at DraftKings | 38 of 89· last season43%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.2Not beating its price |
| Over 224 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -120at Bovada | 36 of 87· last season41%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -37.4Not beating its price |
| Over 224.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 36 of 89· last season40%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.3Not beating its price |
| Over 225 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -110at Bovada | 35 of 88· last season40%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -36.4Not beating its price |
| Over 225.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 35 of 89· last season39%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.5Not beating its price |
| Over 226 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +100at Bovada | 33 of 87· last season38%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.5Not beating its price |
| Over 226.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 33 of 89· last season37%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.2Not beating its price |
| Over 227.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 33 of 89· last season37%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.7Not beating its price |
| Over 228.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 32 of 89· last season36%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.5Not beating its price |
| Over 229.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 29 of 89· last season33%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.7Not beating its price |
| Over 230.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +156at FanDuel | 28 of 89· last season31%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.5Not beating its price |
| Over 231.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +177at Polymarket | 25 of 89· last season28%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.3Not beating its price |
| Over 232.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +182at FanDuel | 22 of 89· last season25%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.4Not beating its price |
| Over 233.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +218at Kalshi | 19 of 89· last season21%needs 31% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 46% to break even |
| 11.8Strong |
| Under 54.5 1st quarter totalBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 40% to break even | 4.6Good |
| Under 58.5 1st quarter totalBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 56% to break even | 4.0Good |
| Under 113.5 1st half totalBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 49% to break even | 3.2Good |
| Under 111.5 1st half totalBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 44% to break even | 1.6Slight |
| Under 117.5 1st half totalBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 62% to break even | 1.0Slight |
| Under 109.5 1st half totalBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 39% to break even | 0.3Slight |
| BOS -5.5 1st half spreadBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 46 of 89· last season52%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.7Not beating its price |
| Under 115.5 1st half totalBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 55% to break even | -0.9Not beating its price |
| Under 60.5 1st quarter totalBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 64% to break even | -1.2Not beating its price |
| BOS -0.5 1st quarter spreadBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 56 of 89· last season63%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.9Not beating its price |
| BOS +0.5 1st quarter spreadBoston Celtics · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 61 of 89· last season69%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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