This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 475%needs 52% to break even | 36%–94% | 23 points betterwon 75%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 978%needs 52% to break even | 50%–92% | 25 points betterwon 78%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1471%needs 52% to break even | 49%–86% | 19 points betterwon 71%, needs 52% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 52% to break even | 0%–73% | 52 points shortwon 0%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 51 of 8759%needs 52% to break even | 50%–67% | 6 points betterwon 59%, needs 52% |
| Every game | 51 of 8858%needs 52% to break even | 49%–66% | 6 points betterwon 58%, needs 52% |
Tonight BOS plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 224, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 216.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 115.5 1st half totalBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 224 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 234 | -10 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 2 | 209 | +15 | Won | |
| Apr 30 | 199 | +25 | Won | |
| Apr 28 | 210 | +14 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 224 | 0 | Tie | |
| Apr 24 | 208 | +16 | Won | |
| Apr 21 | 208 | +16 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 214 | +10 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 221 | +3 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 262 | -38 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 218 | +6 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 215 | +9 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 216 | +8 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 234 | -10 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | 276 | -52 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 214 | +10 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 213 | +11 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 211 | +13 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 228 | -4 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 194 | +30 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 229 | -5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 219 | +5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 232 | -8 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 211 | +13 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 206 | +18 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 241 | -17 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 207 | +17 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 220 | +4 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | 207 | +17 | Won | |
| Mar 2 | 189 | +35 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 212 | +12 | Won | |
| Feb 27 | 259 | -35 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 187 | +37 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 178 | +46 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 200 | +24 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 231 | -7 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 229 | -5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 200 | +24 | Won | |
| Feb 6 | 194 | +30 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 207 | +17 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 210 | +14 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 186 | +38 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 205 | +19 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 223 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | 196 | +28 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 225 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 256 | -32 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | 223 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 207 | +17 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 238 | -14 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 233 | -9 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 194 | +30 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 195 | +29 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 242 | -18 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 224 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jan 5 | 216 | +8 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 261 | -37 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 226 | -2 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 248 | -24 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 222 | +2 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 262 | -38 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 198 | +26 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 208 | +16 | Won | |
| Dec 19 | 245 | -21 | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | 217 | +7 | Won | |
| Dec 11 | 217 | +7 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 234 | -10 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 231 | -7 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | 247 | -23 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 240 | -16 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 232 | -8 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 234 | -10 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 231 | -7 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 267 | -43 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 218 | +6 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 212 | +12 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 239 | -15 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 226 | -2 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 202 | +22 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 218 | +6 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 233 | -9 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 243 | -19 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 208 | +16 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 229 | -5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 217 | +7 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 230 | -6 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 212 | +12 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 232 | -8 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 200 | +24 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 233 | -9 | Lost | |
| 50 of 89· last season56%needs 66% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -36.6Not beating its price |
| Over 217.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | -180at FanDuel | 47 of 89· last season53%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -35.6Not beating its price |
| Over 218.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | -164at Polymarket | 44 of 89· last season49%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -35.7Not beating its price |
| Over 219.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 43 of 89· last season48%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.6Not beating its price |
| Over 220.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | -134at Polymarket | 42 of 89· last season47%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.6Not beating its price |
| Over 221.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 41 of 89· last season46%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.1Not beating its price |
| Over 222.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | -109at Polymarket | 40 of 89· last season45%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.5Not beating its price |
| Over 223 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | -130at Bovada | 38 of 87· last season44%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.9Not beating its price |
| Over 223.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | -101at Polymarket | 38 of 89· last season43%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.2Not beating its price |
| Over 224 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | -120at Bovada | 36 of 87· last season41%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -37.4Not beating its price |
| Over 224.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 36 of 89· last season40%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.3Not beating its price |
| Over 225 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | -110at Bovada | 35 of 88· last season40%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -36.4Not beating its price |
| Over 225.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 35 of 89· last season39%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.7Not beating its price |
| Over 226 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | +100at Bovada | 33 of 87· last season38%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.5Not beating its price |
| Over 226.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 33 of 89· last season37%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.2Not beating its price |
| Over 227.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 33 of 89· last season37%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.8Not beating its price |
| Over 228.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | +143at Polymarket | 32 of 89· last season36%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.5Not beating its price |
| Over 229.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 29 of 89· last season33%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.8Not beating its price |
| Over 230.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | +156at FanDuel | 28 of 89· last season31%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.5Not beating its price |
| Over 231.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | +185at Polymarket | 25 of 89· last season28%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.4Not beating its price |
| Over 232.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | +182at FanDuel | 22 of 89· last season25%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.4Not beating its price |
| Over 233.5 game total, BOS gamesBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | +229at Kalshi | 19 of 89· last season21%needs 30% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 57% to break even |
| -2.8Not beating its price |
| BOS -1.5 2nd quarter spreadBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 52% to break even | -3.8Not beating its price |
| BOS +1.5 2nd quarter spreadBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 64 of 89· last season72%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.5Not beating its price |
| BOS -3.5 1st half spreadBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 51 of 89· last season57%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.2Not beating its price |
| BOS -7.5 spreadBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | +190at Bovada | 47 of 89· last season53%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.4Not beating its price |
| BOS -8.5 spreadBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | +225at Bovada | 41 of 89· last season46%needs 31% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.8Not beating its price |
| BOS -6.5 spreadBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | +170at Bovada | 48 of 89· last season54%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.5Not beating its price |
| Over 58.5 3rd quarter totalBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 38% to break even | -10.0Not beating its price |
| BOS -4.5 spreadBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 52 of 89· last season58%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.7Not beating its price |
| BOS -1.5 1st half spreadBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 53 of 89· last season60%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.3Not beating its price |
| BOS -5.5 spreadBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | +145at Bovada | 49 of 89· last season55%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.9Not beating its price |
| BOS -3.5 spreadBoston Celtics · Today 7:10 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 54 of 89· last season61%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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