+8.5 spread: that team can lose by up to 8 and the bet still winsO 47.5 total: wins if the two teams score 48 or more combined−110 bet $110 to win $100+150 bet $100 to win $150The badge is the book with that price (tap a price to see every book's); green pays more than the bet's chances call forBet types explained →
Outlined is the best price on each side; green pays more than the chances call for. A small negative edge is normal. Tap a price to bet it. What the numbers mean
| Book | Moneyline | Spread | Total | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IND | MIN | IND +6.5 | MIN -6.5 | O 41.5 | U 41.5 | |
| Chance it wins | 28.7%fair odds +249 | 71.3%fair odds -249 | 51.1%fair odds -105 | 48.9%fair odds +105 | 50.2%fair odds -101 | 49.8%fair odds +101 |
| Edge at the best price | +0.6%Slightly good | -0.7%Normal | -0.2%Normal | -0.3%Normal | -0.6%Normal | -3.7%Normal |
| Bally Bet | +225 | -295 | -112 | -109 | -110 | -110 |
| BetMGM | +230 | -285 | -110 | -108 | -108 | -110 |
| BetOnline | +226 | -275 | -110 | -110 | -110 | -110 |
| PRXbetPARX | +225 | -295 | -112 | -109 | -110 | -110 |
| BetRivers | +225 | -295 | -112 | -109 | -110 | -110 |
| BetUS | +230 | -275 | -110 | -110 | -110 | -110 |
| Bovada | +235 | -285 | -110 | -110 | -105 | -115 |
| Caesars | +225 | -280 | -112 | -108 | -113 | -107 |
| DraftKings | +225 | -278 | -112 | -108 | -110 | -110 |
| Fanatics | +230 | -285 | -110 | -110 | -110 | -110 |
| FanDuel | +240 | -295 | -115 | -105 | -110 | -110 |
| FLFliff | +220 | -305 | -120 | -105 | -110 | -115 |
| Kalshi | +229 | -276 | -116 | -103 | -112 | -107 |
| LVGLowVig | +226 | -275 | -105 | -105 | -107 | -107 |
| MyBookie | +220 | -295 | -110 | -110 | -110 | -110 |
| NVNovig | +251 | -257 | -108 | +104 | -102 | -108 |
| PINPinnacle | +238 | -282 | -108 | -104 | -108 | -108 |
| RBReBet | +232 | -285 | -110 | -110 | -110 | -110 |
| tStheScore Bet | +240 | -290 | -115 | -105 | -110 | -110 |
| Hard Rock | +230 | -300 | – | – | -110 | -110 |
| Polymarket | +233 | -270 | -114 | -101 | – | – |
| PXProphetX | +250 | -255 | – | – | – | – |
Vig at the best pricesspread 0.2% · total 2.1% · to win 0.3%Cheapest books →
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On Polymarket and Kalshi a contract pays $1 if it comes true, so its price is the crowd's chance. Charts follow the home team.
Big single bets on Polymarket and Kalshi, and how much money is on this game. What bettors did, not a reason to follow them.
"To win" chances average the sportsbooks (with their cut taken out), Polymarket and Kalshi. How it works
Bets in this game that have kept winning, more often than their price needs. A trend ignores the opponent, and some are luck.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 17.5 team totalIndianapolis Colts | +101at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 50% to break even | Record is this season's | 10.0Strong | |
| Over 42.5 game total, IND gamesIndianapolis Colts | +112at Polymarket | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | 2.3Slight | |
| Under 36.5 game total, MIN gamesMinnesota Vikings | +181at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 36% to break even | 0.8Slight |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 9.5 1st half team totalIndianapolis Colts | +109at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 48% to break even | 18.3Very strong |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Who's hurt, the weather, rest and recent form. Injuries can change up to game time.
| Tyler Warrenstarting TE | TE | Questionable | Groin · back ~Oct 25 |
| Justin Walleystarting NB | CB | Questionable | Knee · back ~Oct 25 |
| Anthony Gould | WR | Questionable | Concussion · back ~Oct 25 |
| Ashton Dulin | WR | Questionable | Hamstring · back ~Oct 25 |
| CJ Allen | LB | Questionable | Ankle · back ~Oct 25 |
| Jordan Mason | RB | Injured Reserve | Thumb · back ~Oct 25 |
| Donovan Jackson | G | Injured Reserve | Knee - Meniscus · back ~Jan 17 |
| Josh Oliver | TE | Injured Reserve | Biceps · back ~Jan 17 |
| T.J. Hockensonstarting TE | TE | Questionable | Concussion |
| Christian Darrisawstarting LT | OT | Questionable | Concussion · back ~Oct 25 |
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Polymarket and Kalshi sell the spread and total at every number, not just the one most books use. Each row shows the chance that bet wins, from their prices, and the best price on each side at any book, sportsbooks' alternate lines and fees included.
| Bet | Chance | Best price | Other side, best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIN -2.5 | 68% chance | -228 | IND +2.5+189 |
| MIN -3.5 | 60% chance | -158 | IND +3.5+137 |
| MIN -4.5 | 56% chance | -137 | IND +4.5+121 |
| MIN -5.5 | 54% chance | -126 | IND +5.5+112 |
| MIN -6.5Most books' number | 49% chance | NV+104 | IND +6.5LVG-105 |
| MIN -7.5 | 42% chance | +131 | IND +7.5-148 |
| MIN -8.5 | 40% chance | +137 | IND +8.5-164 |
| MIN -9.5 | 39% chance | +146 | IND +9.5-172 |
| MIN -10.5 | 34% chance | +177 | IND +10.5-208 |
| 54% chance |
| -123 |
| Under 40.5+107 |
| Over 41.5Most books' number | 51% chance | NV-102 | Under 41.5-107$270 available at this price |
| Over 42.5 | 46% chance | +112 | Under 42.5-126 |
| Over 43.5 | 44% chance | +119 | Under 43.5-142 |
| Over 44.5 | 41% chance | +137 | Under 44.5-158 |
| Over 45.5 | 38% chance | +152 | Under 45.5-183 |
| Over 46.5 | 35% chance | +162 | Under 46.5-214 |