This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 47% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 47% to break even | 65%–100% | 53 points betterwon 100%, needs 47% |
| Last 10 games | 10 of 10100%needs 47% to break even | 79%–100% | 53 points betterwon 100%, needs 47% |
| Last 15 games | 13 of 1587%needs 47% to break even | 67%–95% | 40 points betterwon 87%, needs 47% |
| This season | 6 of 6100%needs 47% to break even | 69%–100% | 53 points betterwon 100%, needs 47% |
| Last season | 15 of 1788%needs 47% to break even | 70%–96% | 42 points betterwon 88%, needs 47% |
| Every game | 21 of 2391%needs 47% to break even | 77%–97% | 45 points betterwon 91%, needs 47% |
Tonight IND plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
IND 1H points in each game against over 9.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | IND 1H points | Beat 9.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6.5 1st half team totalIndianapolis Colts · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 17.5 team totalIndianapolis Colts · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
| 13 |
| +3.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 11 | 13 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 10 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 13 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 20 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 13 | +3.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 17 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 10 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 22 | 17 | +7.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | 13 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 | 10 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | 14 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | 13 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 | 7 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | 17 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 | 23 | +13.5 | Won |
| Oct 12 | 14 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 | 20 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 | 10 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 | 20 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 14 | 20 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 | 20 | +10.5 | Won |
| 1 of 15· last 15 games7%needs 42% to break even |
| -33.7Not beating its price |
| Under 7.5 1st half team totalIndianapolis Colts · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 2 of 15· last 15 games13%needs 55% to break even | -43.4Not beating its price |
| Under 8.5 1st half team totalIndianapolis Colts · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 2 of 15· last 15 games13%needs 53% to break even | -41.8Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 1st half team totalIndianapolis Colts · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 2 of 15· last 15 games13%needs 58% to break even | -45.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 6 of 6· this season100%needs 49% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| 10.8Strong |
| Over 14.5 team totalIndianapolis Colts · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 17 of 17· last season100%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | 10.8Strong |
| Over 42.5 game total, IND gamesIndianapolis Colts · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | 2.3Slight |
| Over 21.5 team totalIndianapolis Colts · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.1Not beating its price |
| Over 41.5 game total, IND gamesIndianapolis Colts · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | NV-102at Novig | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.5Not beating its price |
| Over 45.5 game total, IND gamesIndianapolis Colts · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.9Not beating its price |
| Over 39.5 game total, IND gamesIndianapolis Colts · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 15 of 17· last season88%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.5Not beating its price |
| Over 20.5 team totalIndianapolis Colts · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.6Not beating its price |
| Over 44.5 game total, IND gamesIndianapolis Colts · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.0Not beating its price |
| Over 40.5 game total, IND gamesIndianapolis Colts · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 14 of 17· last season82%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.0Not beating its price |
| IND +6.5 1st half spreadIndianapolis Colts · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -158at Polymarket | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 61% to break even | -3.7Not beating its price |
| IND +1.5 1st half spreadIndianapolis Colts · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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