This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 36% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 36% to break even | 27%–86% | 24 points betterwon 60%, needs 36% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 36% to break even | 19%–65% | 4 points betterwon 40%, needs 36% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 36% to break even | 28%–67% | 11 points betterwon 47%, needs 36% |
| This season | 3 of 560%needs 36% to break even | 27%–86% | 24 points betterwon 60%, needs 36% |
| Last season | 10 of 1759%needs 36% to break even | 39%–76% | 23 points betterwon 59%, needs 36% |
| Every game | 13 of 2259%needs 36% to break even | 42%–74% | 24 points betterwon 59%, needs 36% |
Tonight MIN plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against IND. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
MIN 1H points in each game against under 9.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | MIN 1H points | Beat 9.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 11 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 9 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 17 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 10 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 13 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 25 | 7 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 13 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 17 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 14 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 0 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 3 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 10 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 17 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 23 | 3 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 5 | 7 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | 34 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 8 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 12.5 1st half team totalMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 54% to break even | -28.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 13.5 1st half team totalMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 45% to break even | -27.7Not beating its price | ||
| Over 16.5 1st half team totalMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 3 of 15· last 15 games20%needs 34% to break even | -21.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.