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Trends
Bets that have kept winning more often than their price says they should, strongest first. A trend ignores the opponent, and short runs can be luck.
| Last 10 games | Details | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TB +0.5 first 5 innings spreadTampa Bay Rays · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET |  +109at Kalshi | 112 of 171· this season65%needs 48% to break even | Record is this season's | 5.7Good | |
| 2 | Over 2.5 team totalTampa Bay Rays · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 125 of 171· this season73%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | 3.1Good | |
| 3 | TB to win moneylineTampa Bay Rays · TB @ MIL · Sat, Oct 24, 8:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 105 of 171· this season61%needs 44% to break even | Record is this season's | 1.8Slight | |
| 4 | MIL to win moneylineMilwaukee Brewers · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | PX-150at ProphetX | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 60% to break even | 1.7Slight | ||
| 5 | MIL to win moneylineMilwaukee Brewers · TB @ MIL · Sat, Oct 24, 8:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 61% to break even | 1.1Slight | ||
| 6 | TB +1 spreadTampa Bay Rays · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details |  -113at BetRivers | 105 of 156· this season67%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | 0.1Slight | |
| 7 | Over 2.5 first 5 innings totalMilwaukee Brewers · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -175at Kalshi | 135 of 170· this season79%needs 64% to break even | Record is this season's | -0.8Not beating its price | |
| 8 | Over 2.5 team totalMilwaukee Brewers · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -218at Kalshi | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 69% to break even | -3.0Not beating its price | ||
| 9 | Over 13.5 outs recordedNick Martinez · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 29 of 34· this season85%needs 54% to break even | Record is this season's | -3.5Not beating its price | |
| 10 | Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIsYandy Díaz · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 86 of 150· last season57%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.6Not beating its price | |
| 11 | Over 7 game total, MIL gamesMilwaukee Brewers · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET · 4 more numbers in Details |  +150at BetMGM | 91 of 153· last season59%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.6Not beating its price | |
| 12 | Over 7 game total, TB gamesTampa Bay Rays · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET · 4 more numbers in Details | +150at BetMGM | 86 of 148· this season58%needs 40% to break even | Record is this season's | -4.8Not beating its price | |
| 13 | Over 0.5 hits + runs + RBIsTaylor Walls · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 64 of 93· last season69%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.1Not beating its price | |
| 14 | Under 6.5 strikeouts (pitcher)Jacob Misiorowski · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | +105at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 49% to break even | -6.5Not beating its price | ||
| 15 | Under 4.5 hits allowedDrew Rasmussen · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 25 of 32· last season78%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.1Not beating its price | |
| 16 | Over 0.5 hitsYandy Díaz · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 66% to break even | -7.4Not beating its price | ||
| 17 | Over 0.5 hitsJunior Caminero · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 126 of 172· this season73%needs 61% to break even | Record is this season's | -7.8Not beating its price | |
| 18 | Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIsJake Bauers · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | +124at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 45% to break even | -8.0Not beating its price | ||
| 19 | Over 0.5 hitsJake Bauers · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 58% to break even | -9.3Not beating its price | ||
| 20 | Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIsJackson Chourio · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 83 of 135· this season61%needs 54% to break even | Record is this season's | -10.2Not beating its price | |
| 21 | Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIsWilliam Contreras · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 85 of 156· this season54%needs 50% to break even | Record is this season's | -10.7Not beating its price | |
| 22 | Over 0.5 hitsTaylor Walls · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 70 of 130· this season54%needs 45% to break even | Record is this season's | -10.8Not beating its price | |
| 23 | Over 0.5 hitsWilliam Contreras · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 67% to break even | -11.3Not beating its price | ||
| 24 | Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIsGarrett Mitchell · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | +134at Kalshi | 68 of 153· this season44%needs 43% to break even | Record is this season's | -11.5Not beating its price | |
| 25 | Over 0.5 hits + runs + RBIsJonny DeLuca · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 62% to break even | -11.6Not beating its price | ||
| 26 | Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIsJunior Caminero · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 99 of 172· this season58%needs 46% to break even | Record is this season's | -11.6Not beating its price | |
| 27 | Under 16.5 outs recordedJacob Misiorowski · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 16 of 19· last season84%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.9Not beating its price | |
| 28 | Over 1.5 total basesWilliam Contreras · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 70 of 156· this season45%needs 42% to break even | Record is this season's | -13.0Not beating its price | |
| 29 | Over 0.5 hitsBrice Turang · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 115 of 164· last season70%needs 67% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.9Not beating its price | |
| 30 | Over 0.5 hitsJonathan Aranda · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 112 of 164· this season68%needs 56% to break even | Record is this season's | -14.6Not beating its price | |
| 31 | Over 0.5 1st inning totalMilwaukee Brewers · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 81 of 170· this season48%needs 42% to break even | Record is this season's | -14.7Not beating its price | |
| 32 | Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIsBrice Turang · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 92 of 158· this season58%needs 51% to break even | Record is this season's | -15.6Not beating its price | |
| 33 | Over 5.5 strikeouts (pitcher)Drew Rasmussen · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 50% to break even | -16.0Not beating its price | ||
| 34 | Over 3.5 hits allowedJacob Misiorowski · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even | -16.2Not beating its price | ||
| 35 | Over 3.5 strikeouts (pitcher)Nick Martinez · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 17 of 34· this season50%needs 44% to break even | Record is this season's | -16.3Not beating its price | |
| 36 | Over 1.5 total basesJackson Chourio · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 66 of 140· last season47%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.9Not beating its price | |
| 37 | Over 0.5 hitsJonny DeLuca · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 14 of 20· last season70%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.3Not beating its price | |
| 38 | Under 1.5 hits + runs + RBIsCooper Pratt · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 46 of 82· this season56%needs 62% to break even | Record is this season's | -18.6Not beating its price | |
| 39 | Over 0.5 hitsCooper Pratt · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 49 of 82· this season60%needs 61% to break even | Record is this season's | -18.8Not beating its price | |
| 40 | Under 0.5 hits + runs + RBIsJonathan Aranda · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 43% to break even | -19.2Not beating its price | ||
| 41 | Over 0.5 hits + runs + RBIsJonathan Aranda · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 120 of 164· this season73%needs 63% to break even | Record is this season's | -19.9Not beating its price | |
| 42 | Under 5.5 game total, TB gamesTampa Bay Rays · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET · 4 more numbers in Details |  +143at Polymarket | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 41% to break even | -20.1Not beating its price | ||
| 43 | Under 1.5 total basesBrice Turang · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 93 of 158· this season59%needs 66% to break even | Record is this season's | -20.5Not beating its price | |
| 44 | Under 5.5 game total, MIL gamesMilwaukee Brewers · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET · 4 more numbers in Details | +143at Polymarket | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 41% to break even | -21.0Not beating its price | ||
| 45 | Over 0.5 hitsGarrett Mitchell · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 83 of 153· this season54%needs 60% to break even | Record is this season's | -21.6Not beating its price | |
| 46 | Under 0.5 1st inning totalMilwaukee Brewers · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -158at Polymarket | 92 of 171· last season54%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.8Not beating its price | |
| 47 | MIL -0.5 first 5 innings spreadMilwaukee Brewers · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 86 of 170· this season51%needs 57% to break even | Record is this season's | -22.2Not beating its price | |
| 48 | Under 1.5 total basesJackson Chourio · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 82 of 135· this season61%needs 61% to break even | Record is this season's | -22.4Not beating its price | |
| 49 | Under 0.5 hitsGarrett Mitchell · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 70 of 153· this season46%needs 48% to break even | Record is this season's | -22.4Not beating its price | |
| 50 | Under 5.5 strikeouts (pitcher)Drew Rasmussen · TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 27 of 32· last season84%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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Each record replays today's exact bet over that team's or player's recent games; ties don't count. The order rewards high win rates, more games and stretches that agree, and subtracts what the price expects. How trends work