Each of this player's bets replayed over their recent games, strongest first. Red means it has won less often than its price needs.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6.5 strikeouts (pitcher)TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 51% to break even |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Teammates' bets that have won much more often in the games Jacob Misiorowski's bet won. Useful when building a parlay from one game; it says nothing about why.
Averages over recent windows. A window reaches back into last season when this season has fewer games.
| Window | Games | Outs | K (P) | H allowed | ER | BB allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 13 | 5.4 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 15 | 5.9 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| This season | 32 | 17.2 | 8.2 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| Last season | 19 | 12.5 | 5.4 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
Outs: outs recorded (pitching) · K (P): strikeouts (pitching) · H allowed: hits allowed · ER: earned runs allowed · BB allowed: walks allowed
This season and last, newest first.
| -8.2Not beating its price |
| Under 16.5 outs recordedTB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 16 of 19· last season84%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.0Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 hits allowedTB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even | -16.2Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 earned runsTB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 9 of 19· last season47%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.0Not beating its price |
| Over 7.5 strikeouts (pitcher)TB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 19 of 32· this season59%needs 41% to break even | Record is this season's | -24.0Not beating its price |
| Over 16.5 outs recordedTB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 18 of 32· this season56%needs 48% to break even | Record is this season's | -25.9Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 hits allowedTB @ MIL · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 12 of 19· last season63%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.3Not beating its price |
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Per-game averages in different kinds of games, this season and last, with the row that matches the next game (vs TB) marked. Few games in a row means it can swing a lot.
| Which games | Played | Outs | K (P) | H allowed | ER | BB allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Every game | 51 | 15.4 | 7.2 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| HomeNext game | 29 | 15.3 | 7.4 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Away | 22 | 15.5 | 6.8 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| vs TBNext game | 1 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Which games | IP | ERA | K | BB | HR | OBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Every game this season | 174.2 | 1.80 | 252 | 44 | 14 | .157 |
| Day games | 77.1 | 1.86 | 116 | 16 | 10 | .151 |
| Night games | 97.1 | 1.76 | 136 | 28 | 4 | .162 |
IP: innings pitched · ERA: earned runs allowed per 9 innings · K: strikeouts · BB: walks · HR: home runs allowed · OBA: opponents' batting average