This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 46% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 46% to break even | 44%–95% | 34 points betterwon 80%, needs 46% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 46% to break even | 54%–93% | 34 points betterwon 80%, needs 46% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 46% to break even | 52%–87% | 28 points betterwon 73%, needs 46% |
| This season | 4 of 580%needs 46% to break even | 44%–95% | 34 points betterwon 80%, needs 46% |
| Last season | 9 of 1753%needs 46% to break even | 34%–71% | 7 points betterwon 53%, needs 46% |
| Every game | 13 of 2259%needs 46% to break even | 42%–74% | 13 points betterwon 59%, needs 46% |
Tonight MIN plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against IND. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 39.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 39.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 11 | 36 | +3.5 | ||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 38.5 game total, MIN gamesMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 10.5 2nd quarter totalMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
| Won |
| Oct 4 | 25 | +14.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 39 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 12 | +27.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 61 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 19 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 33 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | 29 | +10.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | 60 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 | 31 | +8.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | 26 | +13.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | 29 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | 36 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | 46 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | 51 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Oct 23 | 47 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Oct 19 | 50 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | 38 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 | 45 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | 58 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 | 28 | +11.5 | Won |
| Sep 8 | 51 | -11.5 | Lost |
| 8 of 17· last season47%needs 62% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -35.0Not beating its price |
| Over 39.5 game total, MIN gamesMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -36.6Not beating its price |
| Over 40.5 game total, MIN gamesMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.9Not beating its price |
| Over 41.5 game total, MIN gamesMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | NV-102at Novig | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.1Not beating its price |
| Over 42.5 game total, MIN gamesMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.4Not beating its price |
| Over 43.5 game total, MIN gamesMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.2Not beating its price |
| Over 44.5 game total, MIN gamesMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.3Not beating its price |
| Over 45.5 game total, MIN gamesMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 7 of 17· last season41%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.3Not beating its price |
| Over 46.5 game total, MIN gamesMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +162at Polymarket | 6 of 17· last season35%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 47% to break even |
| 1.1Slight |
| Under 23.5 team totalMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -101at Polymarket | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 50% to break even | -1.8Not beating its price |
| Under 17.5 1st half totalMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 40% to break even | -4.3Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 1st half team totalMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.2Not beating its price |
| Under 19.5 1st half totalMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 44% to break even | -5.4Not beating its price |
| Under 24.5 team totalMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 56% to break even | -6.3Not beating its price |
| MIN -2.5 4th quarter spreadMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 51% to break even | -6.3Not beating its price |
| Under 13.5 4th quarter totalMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 66% to break even | -7.1Not beating its price |
| Under 13.5 2nd quarter totalMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 61% to break even | -7.3Not beating its price |
| MIN -1.5 4th quarter spreadMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 53% to break even | -8.0Not beating its price |
| MIN -0.5 4th quarter spreadMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 55% to break even | -9.5Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 1st half totalMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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