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NFLGame line4th quarter total
Under 13.5 (4th quarter total)
Won9 of 10last 10 games · 90%
Best price-191Kalshi
Price needs65.6%wins to break even
Every game17 of 22this season and last
Trend score-7.1Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 66% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 66% to break even | 44%–95% | 14 points betterwon 80%, needs 66% |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 66% to break even | 65%–98% | 24 points betterwon 90%, needs 66% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 66% to break even | 59%–92% | 14 points betterwon 80%, needs 66% |
| This season | 4 of 580%needs 66% to break even | 44%–95% | 14 points betterwon 80%, needs 66% |
| Last season | 13 of 1776%needs 66% to break even | 57%–89% | 11 points betterwon 76%, needs 66% |
| Every game | 17 of 2277%needs 66% to break even | 60%–88% | 12 points betterwon 77%, needs 66% |
Games like tonight
Tonight MIN plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against IND. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Under 13.5 (4th quarter total)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
4Q total points in each game against under 13.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 4Q total points | Beat 13.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 11 |  NO | 10 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 |  MIA | 3 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 |  TB | 9 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  CHI | 3 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  GB | 22 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | GB | 6 | +7.5 | Won |
| Dec 25 |  DET | 13 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 |  NYG | 6 | +7.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 |  DAL | 13 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 |  WSH | 7 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 |  SEA | 7 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | GB | 6 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | CHI | 17 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 |  BAL | 14 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | DET | 10 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 23 |  LAC | 13 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 |  PHI | 13 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 |  CLE | 7 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 |  PIT | 18 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 |  CIN | 7 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 14 |  ATL | 10 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 8 | CHI | 28 | -14.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 10.5 4th quarter totalMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  -107at Kalshi | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 13.5 4th quarter totalMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 4 of 17· last season24%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 14.5 4th quarter totalMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 3 of 17· last season18%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Minnesota Vikings in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.