This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 46% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 46% to break even | 5%–56% | 26 points shortwon 20%, needs 46% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 46% to break even | 7%–46% | 26 points shortwon 20%, needs 46% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 46% to break even | 13%–48% | 19 points shortwon 27%, needs 46% |
| This season | 1 of 520%needs 46% to break even | 5%–56% | 26 points shortwon 20%, needs 46% |
| Last season | 8 of 1747%needs 46% to break even | 29%–66% | 1 points betterwon 47%, needs 46% |
| Every game | 9 of 2241%needs 46% to break even | 26%–58% | 5 points shortwon 41%, needs 46% |
Tonight MIN plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against IND. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 43.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 43.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 11 | 36 | -7.5 | ||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 36.5 game total, MIN gamesMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 10.5 2nd quarter totalMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
| Lost |
| Oct 4 | 25 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 39 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 12 | -31.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 61 | +17.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 19 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 25 | 33 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 | 29 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | 60 | +16.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 | 31 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | 26 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | 29 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | 36 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | 46 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 | 51 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 23 | 47 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 | 50 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 | 38 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 | 45 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 | 58 | +14.5 | Won |
| Sep 14 | 28 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Sep 8 | 51 | +7.5 | Won |
| 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 36% to break even |
| 0.8Slight |
| Under 38.5 game total, MIN gamesMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 43% to break even | -4.2Not beating its price |
| Under 39.5 game total, MIN gamesMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 46% to break even | -0.3Not beating its price |
| Under 40.5 game total, MIN gamesMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +107at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 48% to break even | -2.4Not beating its price |
| Under 41.5 game total, MIN gamesMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -107at Caesars | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 52% to break even | -5.2Not beating its price |
| Under 42.5 game total, MIN gamesMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 56% to break even | -8.5Not beating its price |
| Under 43.5 game total, MIN gamesMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 59% to break even | -10.9Not beating its price |
| Under 44.5 game total, MIN gamesMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -158at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 61% to break even | -13.0Not beating its price |
| Under 45.5 game total, MIN gamesMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 65% to break even | -14.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 47% to break even |
| 1.1Slight |
| Under 23.5 team totalMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -101at Polymarket | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 50% to break even | -1.8Not beating its price |
| Under 17.5 1st half totalMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 40% to break even | -4.3Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 1st half team totalMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.2Not beating its price |
| Under 19.5 1st half totalMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 44% to break even | -5.4Not beating its price |
| Under 24.5 team totalMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 56% to break even | -6.3Not beating its price |
| MIN -2.5 4th quarter spreadMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 51% to break even | -6.3Not beating its price |
| Under 13.5 2nd quarter totalMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 60% to break even | -6.5Not beating its price |
| Under 13.5 4th quarter totalMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 66% to break even | -7.1Not beating its price |
| MIN -1.5 4th quarter spreadMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 53% to break even | -8.0Not beating its price |
| Under 10.5 4th quarter totalMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -109at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 52% to break even | -8.9Not beating its price |
| MIN -0.5 4th quarter spreadMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 55% to break even | -9.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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