This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 66% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 66% to break even | 14%–73% | 26 points shortwon 40%, needs 66% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 66% to break even | 19%–65% | 26 points shortwon 40%, needs 66% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 66% to break even | 22%–61% | 26 points shortwon 40%, needs 66% |
| This season | 2 of 540%needs 66% to break even | 14%–73% | 26 points shortwon 40%, needs 66% |
| Last season | 8 of 1747%needs 66% to break even | 29%–66% | 19 points shortwon 47%, needs 66% |
| Every game | 10 of 2245%needs 66% to break even | 29%–62% | 20 points shortwon 45%, needs 66% |
Tonight MIN plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against IND. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H total points in each game against over 17.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H total points | Beat 17.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 11 | 13 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 9 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 27 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 9 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 29 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 13 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 25 | 14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 23 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 34 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 13 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 16 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 13 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 19 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 31 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Oct 23 | 24 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 20 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 5 | 17 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 28 | 20 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | 37 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | 15 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 8 | 16 | -1.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 17.5 1st half totalMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 40% to break even | -4.3Not beating its price | ||
| Under 19.5 1st half totalMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 44% to break even | -5.4Not beating its price | ||
| Under 20.5 1st half totalMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 21.5 1st half totalMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 22.5 1st half totalMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -145at Polymarket | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.