This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 38% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 38% to break even | 14%–73% | 2 points betterwon 40%, needs 38% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 38% to break even | 19%–65% | 2 points betterwon 40%, needs 38% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 38% to break even | 33%–72% | 16 points betterwon 53%, needs 38% |
| This season | 2 of 540%needs 38% to break even | 14%–73% | 2 points betterwon 40%, needs 38% |
| Last season | 8 of 1747%needs 38% to break even | 29%–66% | 9 points betterwon 47%, needs 38% |
| Every game | 10 of 2245%needs 38% to break even | 29%–62% | 8 points betterwon 45%, needs 38% |
Tonight MIN plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against IND. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
MIN points in each game against under 20.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | MIN points | Beat 20.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 11 | 23 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 15 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 23 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 9 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 39 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 16 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 23 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 16 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 34 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 31 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 0 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 6 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 17 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 19 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 27 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 23 | 10 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 22 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 21 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 28 | 21 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 48 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 6 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Sep 8 | 27 | -6.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 21.5 team totalMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 65% to break even | -29.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 23.5 team totalMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 5 of 17· last season29%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 24.5 team totalMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 5 of 17· last season29%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.8Not beating its price | |
| Over 28.5 team totalMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 34% to break even | -20.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.