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NFLPlayer propReceptions
Christian McCaffrey over 4.5 receptions
Won15 of 19last season · 79%
Best price-165BetMGM
Price needs62.3%wins to break even
Every game17 of 25this season and last
Trend score-26.7Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 62% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 62% to break even | 5%–56% | 42 points shortwon 20%, needs 62% | 4.6receptions |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 62% to break even | 27%–73% | 12 points shortwon 50%, needs 62% | 4.9receptions |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 62% to break even | 33%–72% | 9 points shortwon 53%, needs 62% | 4.8receptions |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 62% to break even | 12%–65% | 29 points shortwon 33%, needs 62% | 4.7receptions |
| Last season | 15 of 1979% |
Games like tonight
Tonight SF plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 10 of 13 on the road. Tonight: ATL allows 5.3 receptions a game to running backs, the 5th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 4.4): an easy matchup for this bet. How ATL defends running backs
Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Christian McCaffrey over 4.5 receptions2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receptions in each game against over 4.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
More on Christian McCaffrey in this game
This player's other props in the game.
