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NFLPlayer propReceiving yards
Christian McCaffrey under 44.5 receiving yards
Won12 of 15last 15 games · 80%
Best price-114FanDuel
Price needs53.3%wins to break even
Every game13 of 25this season and last
Trend score-6.5Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 53% to break even | 44%–95% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 53% to break even | 54%–93% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 53% to break even | 59%–92% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 53% to break even | 50%–96% | 30 points betterwon 83%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 8 of 1942%needs 53% to break even | 26%–61% | 11 points shortwon 42%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 13 of 2552%needs 53% to break even | 36%–67% | 1 points shortwon 52%, needs 53% |
Games like tonight
Tonight SF plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Christian McCaffrey under 44.5 receiving yards2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receiving yards in each game against under 44.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 44.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  WSH | 53 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  SEA | 15 | +29.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  DEN | 18 | +26.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  ARI | 41 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  MIA | 43 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  LAR | 20 | +24.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 20 | SEA | 39 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 19 |  PHI | 66 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Wk 18 | SEA | 34 | +10.5 | Won |
| Wk 17 |  CHI | 41 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 |  IND | 29 | +15.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 |  TEN | 14 | +30.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 |  CLE | 21 | +23.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 |  CAR | 53 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | ARI | 40 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | LAR | 66 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 |  NYG | 67 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 |  HOU | 43 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 |  ATL | 72 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 |  TB | 57 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 | LAR | 82 | -37.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  JAX | 92 | -47.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | ARI | 88 | -43.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  NO | 52 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | SEA | 73 | -28.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 39.5 receiving yardsChristian McCaffrey · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Samuel (WR) |  -137at Kalshi | 14 of 19· last season74%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 42.5 receiving yardsChristian McCaffrey · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Samuel (WR) |  -114at DraftKings | 12 of 19· last season63%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 43.5 receiving yardsChristian McCaffrey · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Samuel (WR) |  -114at BetOnline | 11 of 19· last season58%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 44.5 receiving yardsChristian McCaffrey · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Samuel (WR) |  -114at FanDuel | 11 of 19· last season58%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 46.5 receiving yardsChristian McCaffrey · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Samuel (WR) |  -113at BetRivers | 11 of 19· last season58%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 49.5 receiving yardsChristian McCaffrey · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Samuel (WR) | +124at Kalshi | 11 of 19· last season58%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 59.5 receiving yardsChristian McCaffrey · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Samuel (WR) | +198at Kalshi | 8 of 19· last season42%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Christian McCaffrey in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.