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NFLPlayer propRush + rec yards
Christian McCaffrey over 134.5 rush + rec yards
Won9 of 19last season · 47%
Best price+198Kalshi
Price needs33.6%wins to break even
Every game9 of 25this season and last
Trend score-19.9Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 34% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 34% to break even | 0%–35% | 34 points shortwon 0%, needs 34% | 90.4rushing and receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 34% to break even | 2%–35% | 24 points shortwon 10%, needs 34% | 96.6rushing and receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 34% to break even | 8%–41% | 14 points shortwon 20%, needs 34% | 102.4rushing and receiving yards |
| This season | 0 of 60%needs 34% to break even | 0%–31% | 34 points shortwon 0%, needs 34% | 90rushing and receiving yards |
| Last season | 9 of 1947%needs 34% to break even | 30%–65% | 14 points betterwon 47%, needs 34% | 121.8rushing and receiving yards |
| Every game | 9 of 2536%needs 34% to break even | 22%–52% | 2 points betterwon 36%, needs 34% | 114.2rushing and receiving yards |
Games like tonight
Tonight SF plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 13 on the road. Tonight: ATL allows 109.5 rushing and receiving yards a game to running backs, the 10th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 120.9): a tough matchup for this bet. How ATL defends running backs
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Every book's price
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Christian McCaffrey over 134.5 rush + rec yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Rush + rec yards in each game against over 134.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rush + rec yards | Beat 134.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  WSH | 117 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  SEA | 83 | -51.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  DEN | 70 | -64.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  ARI | 116 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  MIA | 66 | -68.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  LAR | 88 | -46.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 20 | SEA | 74 | -60.5 | Lost |
| Wk 19 |  PHI | 114 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Wk 18 | SEA | 57 | -77.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 |  CHI | 181 | +46.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 |  IND | 146 | +11.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 |  TEN | 87 | -47.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 |  CLE | 74 | -60.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 |  CAR | 142 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | ARI | 121 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 | LAR | 96 | -38.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 |  NYG | 173 | +38.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 |  HOU | 68 | -66.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 |  ATL | 201 | +66.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 |  TB | 111 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 | LAR | 139 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  JAX | 141 | +6.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | ARI | 140 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  NO | 107 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | SEA | 142 | +7.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 109.5 rush + rec yardsChristian McCaffrey · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel |  -107at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 52% to break even6 of 13 on the road | -18.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Christian McCaffrey in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.