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NFLPlayer propRushing yards
Christian McCaffrey over 49.5 rushing yards
Won11 of 15last 15 games · 73%
Best price-199Kalshi
Price needs66.6%wins to break even
Every game18 of 25this season and last
Trend score-16.9Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 67% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 67% to break even | 44%–95% | 13 points betterwon 80%, needs 67% | 56.4rushing yards |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 67% to break even | 35%–81% | 7 points shortwon 60%, needs 67% | 59.6rushing yards |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 67% to break even | 52%–87% | 7 points betterwon 73%, needs 67% | 67.3rushing yards |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 67% to break even | 50%–96% | 17 points betterwon 83%, needs 67% | 58.3rushing yards |
| Last season | 13 of 1968%needs 67% to break even | 50%–83% | 2 points betterwon 68%, needs 67% | 67.6rushing yards |
| Every game | 18 of 2572%needs 67% to break even | 56%–84% | 5 points betterwon 72%, needs 67% | 65.4rushing yards |
Games like tonight
Tonight SF plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 10 of 13 on the road. Tonight: ATL allows 77.3 rushing yards a game to running backs, the 8th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 89.6): a tough matchup for this bet. How ATL defends running backs
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Christian McCaffrey over 49.5 rushing yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Rushing yards in each game against over 49.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rushing yards | Beat 49.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  WSH | 64 | +14.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  SEA | 68 | +18.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  DEN | 52 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  ARI | 75 | +25.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  MIA | 23 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  LAR | 68 | +18.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 20 | SEA | 35 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Wk 19 |  PHI | 48 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 18 | SEA | 23 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 |  CHI | 140 | +90.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 |  IND | 117 | +67.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 |  TEN | 73 | +23.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 |  CLE | 53 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 |  CAR | 89 | +39.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | ARI | 81 | +31.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | LAR | 30 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 |  NYG | 106 | +56.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 |  HOU | 25 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 |  ATL | 129 | +79.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 |  TB | 54 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 | LAR | 57 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  JAX | 49 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | ARI | 52 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  NO | 55 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | SEA | 69 | +19.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 49.5 rushing yardsChristian McCaffrey · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel |  +159at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 39% to break even3 of 13 on the road | -22.0Not beating its price | ||
| Under 59.5 rushing yardsChristian McCaffrey · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | +101at Kalshi | 11 of 19· last season58%needs 50% to break even7 of 13 on the road | Record is last season's | -21.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 60.5 rushing yardsChristian McCaffrey · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel |  -111at DraftKings | 11 of 19· last season58%needs 53% to break even7 of 13 on the road | Record is last season's | -23.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 61.5 rushing yardsChristian McCaffrey · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel |  -115at BetRivers | 11 of 19· last season58%needs 53% to break even7 of 13 on the road | Record is last season's | -24.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 69.5 rushing yardsChristian McCaffrey · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | -175at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 64% to break even10 of 13 on the road | -14.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Christian McCaffrey in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 44.5 receiving yardsChristian McCaffrey · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | -114at DraftKings | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 53% to break even7 of 13 on the road | -6.5Not beating its price | ||
| Under 43.5 receiving yardsChristian McCaffrey · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel |  -114at BetOnline | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 53% to break even7 of 13 on the road | -6.5Not beating its price | ||
| Under 46.5 receiving yardsChristian McCaffrey · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | -117at BetRivers | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 54% to break even7 of 13 on the road | -7.0Not beating its price | ||
| Under 4.5 receptionsChristian McCaffrey · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | +159at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 39% to break even3 of 13 on the road | -9.8Not beating its price | ||
| Under 5.5 receptionsChristian McCaffrey · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | -112at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 53% to break even7 of 13 on the road | Record is this season's | -10.9Not beating its price | |
| Under 49.5 receiving yardsChristian McCaffrey · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | -142at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 59% to break even7 of 13 on the road | -11.0Not beating its price | ||
| Under 15.5 rush attemptsChristian McCaffrey · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | -121at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 55% to break even7 of 13 on the road | -11.9Not beating its price | ||
| Under 109.5 rush + rec yardsChristian McCaffrey · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | -107at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 52% to break even6 of 13 on the road | -18.0Not beating its price | ||
| Under 39.5 receiving yardsChristian McCaffrey · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | +119at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 46% to break even5 of 13 on the road | -19.7Not beating its price | ||
| Over 134.5 rush + rec yardsChristian McCaffrey · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | +198at Kalshi | 9 of 19· last season47%needs 34% to break even4 of 13 on the road | Record is last season's | -19.9Not beating its price | |
| Doesn't score a TDChristian McCaffrey · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | +181at Kalshi | 6 of 19· last season32%needs 36% to break even4 of 13 on the road | Record is last season's | -21.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 39.5 receiving yardsChristian McCaffrey · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | -148at Kalshi | 14 of 19· last season74%needs 60% to break even8 of 13 on the road | Record is last season's | -22.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.