This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 43% to break even | 5%–56% | 23 points shortwon 20%, needs 43% | 19.6receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 43% to break even | 7%–46% | 23 points shortwon 20%, needs 43% | 22.8receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 43% to break even | 5%–33% | 30 points shortwon 13%, needs 43% | 20.1receiving yards |
| This season | 0 of 30%needs 43% to break even | 0%–47% | 43 points shortwon 0%, needs 43% | 6.7receiving yards |
| Last season | 2 of 1513% |
Tonight SF plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 1 of 10 on the road. Tonight: ATL allows 180.3 receiving yards a game to wide receivers, the 5th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 150.3): an easy matchup for this bet. How ATL defends wide receivers
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 29.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 5%–33% |
| 30 points shortwon 13%, needs 43% |
| 23.8receiving yards |
| Every game | 2 of 1811%needs 43% to break even | 4%–29% | 32 points shortwon 11%, needs 43% | 20.9receiving yards |
| 13 |
| -16.5 |
| Lost |
| Wk 5 | 7 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 0 | -29.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 20 | 20 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 19 | 58 | +28.5 | Won |
| Wk 17 | 101 | +71.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 | 0 | -29.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 | 0 | -29.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | 13 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | 16 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 | 22 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | 3 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 | 21 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 | 5 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 22 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 24 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 26 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 26 | -3.5 | Lost |
| +152at Kalshi |
| 3 of 3· this season100%needs 40% to break even5 of 10 on the road |
| Record is this season's |
| -5.5Not beating its price |
| Under 19.5 receiving yardsBrandin Cooks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | +109at Kalshi | 3 of 3· this season100%needs 48% to break even6 of 10 on the road | Record is this season's | -8.6Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 receiving yardsBrandin Cooks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | -109at DraftKings | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 52% to break even8 of 10 on the road | 0.3Slight |
| Under 24.5 receiving yardsBrandin Cooks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | -112at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 53% to break even9 of 10 on the road | 1.1Slight |
| Under 29.5 receiving yardsBrandin Cooks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | -161at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 62% to break even9 of 10 on the road | -3.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +134at Kalshi |
| 3 of 3· this season100%needs 43% to break even5 of 10 on the road |
| Record is this season's |
| -6.0Not beating its price |
| Scores a TDBrandin Cooks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | +500at DraftKings | 1 of 3· this season33%needs 17% to break even1 of 10 on the road | Record is this season's | -10.7Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 receptionsBrandin Cooks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | -181at DraftKings | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 64% to break even7 of 10 on the road | -12.8Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 receptionsBrandin Cooks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | +155at Polymarket | 6 of 15· last season40%needs 39% to break even3 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -22.7Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 receptionsBrandin Cooks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | -183at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last season60%needs 65% to break even5 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -34.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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