This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 52% to break even | 44%–95% | 28 points betterwon 80%, needs 52% | 19.6receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 52% to break even | 54%–93% | 28 points betterwon 80%, needs 52% | 22.8receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 13 of 1587%needs 52% to break even | 67%–95% | 35 points betterwon 87%, needs 52% | 20.1receiving yards |
| This season | 3 of 3100%needs 52% to break even | 53%–100% | 48 points betterwon 100%, needs 52% | 6.7receiving yards |
| Last season |
Tonight SF plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 8 of 10 on the road. Tonight: ATL allows 180.3 receiving yards a game to wide receivers, the 5th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 150.3): a tough matchup for this bet. How ATL defends wide receivers
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against under 23.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 10 of 1567%needs 52% to break even |
| 46%–83% |
| 15 points betterwon 67%, needs 52% |
| 23.8receiving yards |
| Every game | 13 of 1872%needs 52% to break even | 53%–86% | 20 points betterwon 72%, needs 52% | 20.9receiving yards |
| 13 |
| +10.5 |
| Won |
| Wk 5 | 7 | +16.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 0 | +23.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 20 | 20 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Wk 19 | 58 | -34.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 | 101 | -77.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | 0 | +23.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 | 0 | +23.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | 13 | +10.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 | 16 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 | 22 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 | 3 | +20.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 | 21 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 | 5 | +18.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 22 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 24 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 26 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 26 | -2.5 | Lost |
| -115at DraftKings |
| 5 of 15· last season33%needs 53% to break even2 of 10 on the road |
| Record is last season's |
| -36.2Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 receiving yardsBrandin Cooks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | -112at Kalshi | 4 of 15· last season27%needs 53% to break even1 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -36.6Not beating its price |
| Over 25.5 receiving yardsBrandin Cooks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | -114at FanDuel | 4 of 15· last season27%needs 53% to break even1 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -36.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +146at Kalshi |
| 3 of 3· this season100%needs 41% to break even5 of 10 on the road |
| Record is this season's |
| -4.4Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 receptionsBrandin Cooks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | -183at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 65% to break even7 of 10 on the road | -13.0Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 receptionsBrandin Cooks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | +146at DraftKings | 6 of 15· last season40%needs 41% to break even3 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -23.9Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 receptionsBrandin Cooks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | -183at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last season60%needs 65% to break even5 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -34.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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