This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 40% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 40% to break even | 27%–86% | 20 points betterwon 60%, needs 40% | 19.6receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 40% to break even | 35%–81% | 20 points betterwon 60%, needs 40% | 22.8receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 40% to break even | 33%–72% | 14 points betterwon 53%, needs 40% | 20.1receiving yards |
| This season | 3 of 3100%needs 40% to break even | 53%–100% | 60 points betterwon 100%, needs 40% | 6.7receiving yards |
Tonight SF plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 5 of 10 on the road. Tonight: ATL allows 180.3 receiving yards a game to wide receivers, the 5th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 150.3): a tough matchup for this bet. How ATL defends wide receivers
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against under 14.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| Last season |
| 5 of 1533%needs 40% to break even |
| 17%–54% |
| 6 points shortwon 33%, needs 40% |
| 23.8receiving yards |
| Every game | 8 of 1844%needs 40% to break even | 27%–63% | 5 points betterwon 44%, needs 40% | 20.9receiving yards |
| 13 |
| +1.5 |
| Won |
| Wk 5 | 7 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 0 | +14.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 20 | 20 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 19 | 58 | -43.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 | 101 | -86.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | 0 | +14.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 | 0 | +14.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | 13 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 | 16 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 | 22 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | 3 | +11.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 | 21 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 | 5 | +9.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 22 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 24 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 26 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 26 | -11.5 | Lost |
| -149at DraftKings |
| 9 of 15· last season60%needs 60% to break even4 of 10 on the road |
| Record is last season's |
| -32.0Not beating its price |
| Over 23.5 receiving yardsBrandin Cooks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | -113at BetRivers | 5 of 15· last season33%needs 53% to break even2 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -35.8Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 receiving yardsBrandin Cooks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | -106at FanDuel | 4 of 15· last season27%needs 51% to break even1 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -35.5Not beating its price |
| Over 29.5 receiving yardsBrandin Cooks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | +133at BetRivers | 2 of 10· last 10 games20%needs 43% to break even1 of 10 on the road | -30.4Not beating its price |
| Over 33.5 receiving yardsBrandin Cooks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | +122at BetOnline | 2 of 10· last 10 games20%needs 45% to break even1 of 10 on the road | -32.1Not beating its price |
| Over 39.5 receiving yardsBrandin Cooks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | +235at BetRivers | 2 of 10· last 10 games20%needs 30% to break even1 of 10 on the road | -20.2Not beating its price |
| Over 43.5 receiving yardsBrandin Cooks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | +171at BetOnline | 2 of 10· last 10 games20%needs 37% to break even1 of 10 on the road | -25.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +134at Kalshi |
| 3 of 3· this season100%needs 43% to break even5 of 10 on the road |
| Record is this season's |
| -6.0Not beating its price |
| Scores a TDBrandin Cooks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | +500at DraftKings | 1 of 3· this season33%needs 17% to break even1 of 10 on the road | Record is this season's | -10.7Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 receptionsBrandin Cooks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | -181at DraftKings | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 64% to break even7 of 10 on the road | -12.8Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 receptionsBrandin Cooks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | +155at Polymarket | 6 of 15· last season40%needs 39% to break even3 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -22.7Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 receptionsBrandin Cooks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | -183at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last season60%needs 65% to break even5 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -34.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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