This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 17% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 17% to break even | 5%–56% | 3 points betterwon 20%, needs 17% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 17% to break even | 2%–35% | 7 points shortwon 10%, needs 17% |
| Last 15 games | 1 of 157%needs 17% to break even | 2%–25% | 10 points shortwon 7%, needs 17% |
| This season | 1 of 333%needs 17% to break even | 8%–75% | 17 points betterwon 33%, needs 17% |
| Last season | 0 of 150%needs 17% to break even | 0%–15% | 17 points shortwon 0%, needs 17% |
| Every game |
Tonight SF plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 1 of 10 on the road. Tonight: ATL allows 0.7 touchdowns a game to wide receivers, the 11th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 0.9): a tough matchup for this bet. How ATL defends wide receivers
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Brandin Cooks game, newest first: whether Cooks scored a touchdown.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Wk 6 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | |||
This player's other props in the game.
| 1%–21% |
| 11 points shortwon 6%, needs 17% |
| 1 TD |
| Won |
| Wk 4 | No TD | Lost |
| Last season | |||
| Wk 20 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 19 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 17 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 16 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 15 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 13 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 9 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 8 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 7 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 6 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 5 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 4 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 3 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 2 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 1 | No TD | Lost |
| -109at DraftKings |
| 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 52% to break even8 of 10 on the road |
| 0.3Slight |
| Under 24.5 receiving yardsBrandin Cooks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | -121at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 55% to break even9 of 10 on the road | -0.4Not beating its price |
| Under 29.5 receiving yardsBrandin Cooks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | -175at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 64% to break even9 of 10 on the road | -4.5Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 receptionsBrandin Cooks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | +140at Kalshi | 3 of 3· this season100%needs 42% to break even5 of 10 on the road | Record is this season's | -5.2Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsBrandin Cooks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | +152at Kalshi | 3 of 3· this season100%needs 40% to break even5 of 10 on the road | Record is this season's | -5.5Not beating its price |
| Under 19.5 receiving yardsBrandin Cooks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | +109at Kalshi | 3 of 3· this season100%needs 48% to break even6 of 10 on the road | Record is this season's | -8.6Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 receptionsBrandin Cooks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | -181at DraftKings | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 64% to break even7 of 10 on the road | -12.8Not beating its price |
| Over 39.5 receiving yardsBrandin Cooks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | +235at BetRivers | 2 of 10· last 10 games20%needs 30% to break even1 of 10 on the road | -20.2Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 receptionsBrandin Cooks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | +152at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last season40%needs 40% to break even3 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -23.1Not beating its price |
| Over 43.5 receiving yardsBrandin Cooks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | +171at BetOnline | 2 of 10· last 10 games20%needs 37% to break even1 of 10 on the road | -25.7Not beating its price |
| Over 29.5 receiving yardsBrandin Cooks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | +133at BetRivers | 2 of 10· last 10 games20%needs 43% to break even1 of 10 on the road | -30.4Not beating its price |
| Over 19.5 receiving yardsBrandin Cooks · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | -149at DraftKings | 9 of 15· last season60%needs 60% to break even4 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -32.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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