This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 41% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 41% to break even | 5%–56% | 21 points shortwon 20%, needs 41% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 41% to break even | 7%–46% | 21 points shortwon 20%, needs 41% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 41% to break even | 13%–48% | 14 points shortwon 27%, needs 41% |
| This season | 0 of 30%needs 41% to break even | 0%–47% | 41 points shortwon 0%, needs 41% |
| Last season | 6 of 1540%needs 41% to break even | 22%–61% | 1 points shortwon 40%, needs 41% |
| Every game | 6 of 1833%needs 41% to break even | 18%–53% | 7 points shortwon 33%, needs 41% |
Tonight SF plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receptions in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receptions | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 20 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 19 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 16 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 15 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 13 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 9 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 8 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 7 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 6 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 receptionsBrandin Cooks · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Samuel (WR) | +140at Kalshi | 3 of 3· this season100%needs 42% to break even | Record is this season's | -5.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 2.5 receptionsBrandin Cooks · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Samuel (WR) | -199at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 67% to break even | -14.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.