This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 21% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 21% to break even | 5%–56% | 1 points shortwon 20%, needs 21% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 21% to break even | 7%–46% | 1 points shortwon 20%, needs 21% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 21% to break even | 8%–41% | 1 points shortwon 20%, needs 21% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 21% to break even | 4%–50% | 4 points shortwon 17%, needs 21% |
| Last season | 2 of 1118%needs 21% to break even | 6%–43% | 3 points shortwon 18%, needs 21% |
| Every game | 3 of 1718%needs 21% to break even | 7%–37% | 3 points shortwon 18%, needs 21% |
Tonight SF plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 1 of 8 on the road.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Brock Purdy game, newest first: whether Purdy scored a touchdown.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Wk 6 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 1 TD | Won | |
| Wk 1 | No TD | Lost | |
| Last season | |||
| Wk 20 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 19 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 18 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 2 TDs | Won | |
| Wk 16 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 15 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 13 | 1 TD | Won | |
| Wk 12 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 11 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | No TD | Lost | |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 30.5 pass attemptsBrock Purdy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | +101at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 50% to break even4 of 8 on the road | -4.7Not beating its price | ||
| Over 24.5 rushing yardsBrock Purdy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | +142at FanDuel | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 41% to break even2 of 8 on the road | Record is this season's | -5.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 31.5 pass attemptsBrock Purdy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | -125at BetMGM | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 56% to break even5 of 8 on the road | -5.2Not beating its price | ||
| Over 20.5 rushing yardsBrock Purdy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | -108at DraftKings | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 52% to break even3 of 8 on the road | -5.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 19.5 rushing yardsBrock Purdy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | -114at FanDuel | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 53% to break even3 of 8 on the road | -6.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 18.5 rushing yardsBrock Purdy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | -125at BetMGM | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 56% to break even3 of 8 on the road | -8.4Not beating its price | ||
| Over 1.5 passing TDsBrock Purdy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | -134at Caesars | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 57% to break even6 of 8 on the road | Record is this season's | -10.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 274.5 passing yardsBrock Purdy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | +230at BetRivers | 5 of 11· last season45%needs 30% to break even2 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -10.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 4.5 rush attemptsBrock Purdy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | +101at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 50% to break even5 of 8 on the road | -10.9Not beating its price | ||
| Over 14.5 rushing yardsBrock Purdy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | -183at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 65% to break even4 of 8 on the road | -11.5Not beating its price | ||
| Over 259.5 passing yardsBrock Purdy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | +137at DraftKings | 6 of 11· last season55%needs 42% to break even3 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -11.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 261.5 passing yardsBrock Purdy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | +132at BetOnline | 6 of 11· last season55%needs 43% to break even3 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -12.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.