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NFLPlayer propRushing yards
Brock Purdy over 20.5 rushing yards
Won9 of 10last 10 games · 90%
Best price-108DraftKings
Price needs51.9%wins to break even
Every game10 of 17this season and last
Trend score-5.6Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 52% to break even | 44%–95% | 28 points betterwon 80%, needs 52% | 25.4rushing yards |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 52% to break even | 65%–98% | 38 points betterwon 90%, needs 52% | 26.6rushing yards |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 52% to break even | 46%–83% | 15 points betterwon 67%, needs 52% | 22.3rushing yards |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 52% to break even | 50%–96% | 31 points betterwon 83%, needs 52% | 26rushing yards |
| Last season | 5 of 1145%needs 52% to break even | 24%–68% | 6 points shortwon 45%, needs 52% | 18.9rushing yards |
| Every game | 10 of 1759%needs 52% to break even | 39%–76% | 7 points betterwon 59%, needs 52% | 21.4rushing yards |
Games like tonight
Tonight SF plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 3 of 8 on the road. Tonight: ATL allows 4.5 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks, the fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 17.3): a tough matchup for this bet. How ATL defends quarterbacks
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Brock Purdy over 20.5 rushing yards2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Rushing yards in each game against over 20.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rushing yards | Beat 20.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  WSH | 28 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  SEA | 6 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  DEN | 29 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  ARI | 34 | +13.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  MIA | 30 | +9.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  LAR | 29 | +8.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 20 | SEA | 37 | +16.5 | Won |
| Wk 19 |  PHI | 24 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 18 | SEA | 21 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 17 |  CHI | 28 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 |  IND | 11 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 |  TEN | 44 | +23.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 |  CLE | 4 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 |  CAR | 16 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | ARI | -7 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  JAX | 13 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | SEA | 17 | -3.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 14.5 rushing yardsBrock Purdy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel |  +152at Kalshi | 4 of 11· last season36%needs 40% to break even4 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -23.9Not beating its price | |
| Under 18.5 rushing yardsBrock Purdy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel |  -105at BetMGM | 6 of 11· last season55%needs 51% to break even5 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -29.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 19.5 rushing yardsBrock Purdy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | -103at Kalshi | 6 of 11· last season55%needs 51% to break even5 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -29.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 20.5 rushing yardsBrock Purdy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel |  -116at DraftKings | 6 of 11· last season55%needs 54% to break even5 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -31.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 24.5 rushing yardsBrock Purdy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | -183at Kalshi | 8 of 11· last season73%needs 65% to break even6 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -33.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Brock Purdy in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 30.5 pass attemptsBrock Purdy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | +101at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 50% to break even4 of 8 on the road | -4.7Not beating its price | ||
| Under 31.5 pass attemptsBrock Purdy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | -125at BetMGM | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 56% to break even5 of 8 on the road | -5.2Not beating its price | ||
| Over 1.5 passing TDsBrock Purdy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel |  -134at Caesars | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 57% to break even6 of 8 on the road | Record is this season's | -10.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 274.5 passing yardsBrock Purdy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel |  +230at BetRivers | 5 of 11· last season45%needs 30% to break even2 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -10.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 4.5 rush attemptsBrock Purdy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | +101at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 50% to break even5 of 8 on the road | -10.9Not beating its price | ||
| Over 259.5 passing yardsBrock Purdy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | +137at DraftKings | 6 of 11· last season55%needs 42% to break even3 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -11.5Not beating its price | |
| Scores a TDBrock Purdy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | +375at BetMGM | 3 of 15· last 15 games20%needs 21% to break even1 of 8 on the road | -11.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 261.5 passing yardsBrock Purdy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel |  +132at BetOnline | 6 of 11· last season55%needs 43% to break even3 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -12.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 289.5 pass + rush yardsBrock Purdy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | +157at DraftKings | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 39% to break even2 of 8 on the road | -12.4Not beating its price | ||
| Under 20.5 completionsBrock Purdy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | -112at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even5 of 8 on the road | -12.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 279.5 passing yardsBrock Purdy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | +215at DraftKings | 4 of 11· last season36%needs 32% to break even1 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -13.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 279.5 pass + rush yardsBrock Purdy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Evans and Samuel | +125at DraftKings | 6 of 11· last season55%needs 44% to break even3 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -13.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.