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NFLPlayer propRushing yards
Brock Purdy over 19.5 rushing yards
Won9 of 10last 10 games · 90%
Best price-112Kalshi
Price needs52.8%wins to break even
Every game10 of 17this season and last
Trend score-6.3Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 53% to break even | 44%–95% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 53% to break even | 65%–98% | 37 points betterwon 90%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 53% to break even | 46%–83% | 14 points betterwon 67%, needs 53% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 53% to break even | 50%–96% | 31 points betterwon 83%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 5 of 1145%needs 53% to break even | 24%–68% | 7 points shortwon 45%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 10 of 1759%needs 53% to break even | 39%–76% | 6 points betterwon 59%, needs 53% |
Games like tonight
Tonight SF plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Brock Purdy over 19.5 rushing yards3 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Rushing yards in each game against over 19.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rushing yards | Beat 19.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  WSH | 28 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  SEA | 6 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  DEN | 29 | +9.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  ARI | 34 | +14.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  MIA | 30 | +10.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  LAR | 29 | +9.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 20 | SEA | 37 | +17.5 | Won |
| Wk 19 |  PHI | 24 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 18 | SEA | 21 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 17 |  CHI | 28 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 |  IND | 11 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 |  TEN | 44 | +24.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 |  CLE | 4 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 |  CAR | 16 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | ARI | -7 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  JAX | 13 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | SEA | 17 | -2.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 14.5 rushing yardsBrock Purdy · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Samuel (WR) |  +140at Kalshi | 4 of 11· last season36%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 18.5 rushing yardsBrock Purdy · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Samuel (WR) |  -110at DraftKings | 6 of 11· last season55%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 19.5 rushing yardsBrock Purdy · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Samuel (WR) | -112at Kalshi | 6 of 11· last season55%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 24.5 rushing yardsBrock Purdy · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Samuel (WR) | -183at Kalshi | 8 of 11· last season73%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Brock Purdy in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 30.5 pass attemptsBrock Purdy · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Samuel (WR) | +105at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 49% to break even | -3.9Not beating its price | ||
| Over 1.5 passing TDsBrock Purdy · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Samuel (WR) | -148at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 60% to break even | Record is this season's | -11.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 4.5 rush attemptsBrock Purdy · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Samuel (WR) | -107at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 52% to break even | -12.4Not beating its price | ||
| Under 20.5 completionsBrock Purdy · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Samuel (WR) | -116at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 54% to break even | -13.5Not beating its price | ||
| Over 274.5 passing yardsBrock Purdy · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Samuel (WR) | +189at Kalshi | 5 of 11· last season45%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 224.5 passing yardsBrock Purdy · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Samuel (WR) | +129at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 44% to break even | -14.7Not beating its price | ||
| Over 249.5 passing yardsBrock Purdy · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Samuel (WR) | +105at Kalshi | 6 of 11· last season55%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 0.5 interceptions thrownBrock Purdy · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Samuel (WR) | -103at Kalshi | 8 of 11· last season73%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 242.5 passing yardsBrock Purdy · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Samuel (WR) | -111at DraftKings | 6 of 11· last season55%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 240.5 passing yardsBrock Purdy · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Samuel (WR) |  -114at FanDuel | 6 of 11· last season55%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 238.5 passing yardsBrock Purdy · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Samuel (WR) |  -115at BetRivers | 6 of 11· last season55%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 244.5 passing yardsBrock Purdy · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Samuel (WR) |  -115at BetMGM | 6 of 11· last season55%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.