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NFLGame lineTeam total
Over 23.5 (team total)
Won8 of 19last season · 42%
Best price-123Polymarket
Price needs55.2%wins to break even
Every game9 of 25this season and last
Trend score-35.4Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 55% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 55% to break even | 5%–56% | 35 points shortwon 20%, needs 55% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 55% to break even | 7%–46% | 35 points shortwon 20%, needs 55% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 55% to break even | 17%–54% | 22 points shortwon 33%, needs 55% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 55% to break even | 4%–50% | 38 points shortwon 17%, needs 55% |
| Last season | 8 of 1942%needs 55% to break even | 26%–61% | 13 points shortwon 42%, needs 55% |
| Every game | 9 of 2536%needs 55% to break even | 22%–52% | 19 points shortwon 36%, needs 55% |
Games like tonight
Tonight DEN plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ARI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Over 23.5 (team total)2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
DEN points in each game against over 23.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | DEN points | Beat 23.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 15 |  SEA | 17 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 |  LAC | 23 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 |  SF | 14 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 |  LAR | 30 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  JAX | 20 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 |  KC | 10 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 25 |  NE | 7 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Jan 17 |  BUF | 33 | +9.5 | Won |
| Jan 4 | LAC | 19 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 25 | KC | 20 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 | JAX | 20 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 |  GB | 34 | +10.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 |  LV | 24 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 |  WSH | 27 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | KC | 22 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 6 | LV | 10 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 |  HOU | 18 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 |  DAL | 44 | +20.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 |  NYG | 33 | +9.5 | Won |
| Oct 12 |  NYJ | 13 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 |  PHI | 21 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 29 |  CIN | 28 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 | LAC | 20 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 |  IND | 28 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 |  TEN | 20 | -3.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 20.5 team totalDenver Broncos · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET |  +166at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 38% to break even | -3.0Not beating its price | ||
| Under 21.5 team totalDenver Broncos · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 40% to break even | -3.7Not beating its price | ||
| Under 23.5 team totalDenver Broncos · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET |  -101at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 50% to break even | -3.3Not beating its price | ||
| Under 24.5 team totalDenver Broncos · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 55% to break even | -4.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Denver Broncos in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.