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NFLGame line1st half team total
Under 12.5 (1st half team total)
Won8 of 10last 10 games · 80%
Best price-112Kalshi
Price needs52.8%wins to break even
Every game17 of 25this season and last
Trend score-4.4Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 53% to break even | 44%–95% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 53% to break even | 54%–93% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 53% to break even | 46%–83% | 14 points betterwon 67%, needs 53% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 53% to break even | 50%–96% | 31 points betterwon 83%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 12 of 1963%needs 53% to break even | 44%–79% | 10 points betterwon 63%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 17 of 2568%needs 53% to break even | 52%–81% | 15 points betterwon 68%, needs 53% |
Games like tonight
Tonight DEN plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ARI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Under 12.5 (1st half team total)2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
DEN 1H points in each game against under 12.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | DEN 1H points | Beat 12.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 15 |  SEA | 14 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 |  LAC | 10 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 |  SF | 3 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 |  LAR | 0 | +12.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  JAX | 3 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 14 |  KC | 7 | +5.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 25 |  NE | 7 | +5.5 | Won |
| Jan 17 |  BUF | 20 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Jan 4 | LAC | 10 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 25 | KC | 6 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | JAX | 10 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 |  GB | 14 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 |  LV | 14 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 |  WSH | 13 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | KC | 6 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 6 | LV | 7 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 |  HOU | 7 | +5.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 |  DAL | 27 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Oct 19 |  NYG | 0 | +12.5 | Won |
| Oct 12 |  NYJ | 10 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 |  PHI | 3 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 29 |  CIN | 21 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | LAC | 7 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 14 |  IND | 21 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Sep 7 |  TEN | 10 | +2.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 11.5 1st half team totalDenver Broncos · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET |  -121at Kalshi | 7 of 19· last season37%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -35.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 12.5 1st half team totalDenver Broncos · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 7 of 19· last season37%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -35.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 13.5 1st half team totalDenver Broncos · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 6 of 19· last season32%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Denver Broncos in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.