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NFLGame lineTeam total
Under 20.5 (team total)
Won7 of 10last 10 games · 70%
Best price+169Polymarket
Price needs37.2%wins to break even
Every game13 of 25this season and last
Trend score-2.6Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 37% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 37% to break even | 27%–86% | 23 points betterwon 60%, needs 37% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 37% to break even | 44%–87% | 33 points betterwon 70%, needs 37% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 37% to break even | 33%–72% | 16 points betterwon 53%, needs 37% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 37% to break even | 35%–88% | 29 points betterwon 67%, needs 37% |
| Last season | 9 of 1947%needs 37% to break even | 30%–65% | 10 points betterwon 47%, needs 37% |
| Every game | 13 of 2552%needs 37% to break even | 36%–67% | 15 points betterwon 52%, needs 37% |
Games like tonight
Tonight DEN plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ARI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Under 20.5 (team total)2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
DEN points in each game against under 20.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | DEN points | Beat 20.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 15 |  SEA | 17 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 |  LAC | 23 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 |  SF | 14 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 |  LAR | 30 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  JAX | 20 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 14 |  KC | 10 | +10.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 25 |  NE | 7 | +13.5 | Won |
| Jan 17 |  BUF | 33 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Jan 4 | LAC | 19 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 25 | KC | 20 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | JAX | 20 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 |  GB | 34 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 |  LV | 24 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 |  WSH | 27 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | KC | 22 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 6 | LV | 10 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 |  HOU | 18 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 |  DAL | 44 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Oct 19 |  NYG | 33 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 |  NYJ | 13 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 |  PHI | 21 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 29 |  CIN | 28 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | LAC | 20 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 14 |  IND | 28 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 7 |  TEN | 20 | +0.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 21.5 team totalDenver Broncos · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET |  -191at Kalshi | 9 of 19· last season47%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -38.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 23.5 team totalDenver Broncos · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET |  -123at Polymarket | 8 of 19· last season42%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -35.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 24.5 team totalDenver Broncos · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 7 of 19· last season37%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 28.5 team totalDenver Broncos · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 4 of 19· last season21%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Denver Broncos in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.