Loading
NFLGame lineSpread
DEN -2.5 (spread)
Won10 of 15last 15 games · 67%
Best price-172Polymarket
Price needs63.2%wins to break even
Every game16 of 25this season and last
Trend score-17.3Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 63% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 63% to break even | 44%–95% | 17 points betterwon 80%, needs 63% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 63% to break even | 44%–87% | 7 points betterwon 70%, needs 63% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 63% to break even | 46%–83% | 3 points betterwon 67%, needs 63% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 63% to break even | 35%–88% | 3 points betterwon 67%, needs 63% |
| Last season | 12 of 1963%needs 63% to break even | 44%–79% | evenwon 63%, needs 63% |
| Every game | 16 of 2564%needs 63% to break even | 48%–78% | 1 points betterwon 64%, needs 63% |
Games like tonight
Tonight DEN plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ARI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
DEN -2.5 (spread)2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against den -2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 15 |  SEA | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 |  LAC | 6 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 |  SF | -10 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 |  LAR | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  JAX | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 14 |  KC | -21 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 25 |  NE | -3 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Jan 17 |  BUF | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 4 | LAC | 16 | +13.5 | Won |
| Dec 25 | KC | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | JAX | -14 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 |  GB | 8 | +5.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 |  LV | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 |  WSH | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | KC | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 6 | LV | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 |  HOU | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 |  DAL | 20 | +17.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 |  NYG | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 |  NYJ | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 |  PHI | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 29 |  CIN | 25 | +22.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 | LAC | -3 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 |  IND | -1 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 7 |  TEN | 8 | +5.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
More on Denver Broncos in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.