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NFLGame line3rd quarter total
Under 7.5 (3rd quarter total)
Won9 of 17last season · 53%
Best price+105Kalshi
Price needs48.8%wins to break even
Every game10 of 23this season and last
Trend score-26.1Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 49% to break even | 5%–56% | 29 points shortwon 20%, needs 49% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 49% to break even | 13%–56% | 19 points shortwon 30%, needs 49% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 49% to break even | 22%–61% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 49% to break even | 4%–50% | 32 points shortwon 17%, needs 49% |
| Last season | 9 of 1753%needs 49% to break even | 34%–71% | 4 points betterwon 53%, needs 49% |
| Every game | 10 of 2343%needs 49% to break even | 28%–60% | 5 points shortwon 43%, needs 49% |
Games like tonight
Tonight NO plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against PIT. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Under 7.5 (3rd quarter total)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
3Q total points in each game against under 7.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 3Q total points | Beat 7.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  NYG | 17 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 |  MIN | 13 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 |  ATL | 10 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 |  LV | 20 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  BAL | 6 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  DET | 28 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | ATL | 6 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 28 |  TEN | 13 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 |  NYJ | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 |  CAR | 10 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 |  TB | 17 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 |  MIA | 8 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | ATL | 0 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | CAR | 0 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 |  LAR | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | TB | 10 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 19 |  CHI | 10 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 |  NE | 3 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 | NYG | 3 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 |  BUF | 13 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 |  SEA | 6 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 14 |  SF | 10 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 7 |  ARI | 3 | +4.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 3rd quarter totalNew Orleans Saints · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET |  -142at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 59% to break even | Record is this season's | -15.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 10.5 3rd quarter totalNew Orleans Saints · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | +159at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 39% to break even | Record is this season's | -13.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on New Orleans Saints in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.