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NFLPlayer propRushing yards
Rico Dowdle over 49.5 rushing yards
Won8 of 18last season · 44%
Best price+360BetRivers
Price needs21.7%wins to break even
Every game8 of 21this season and last
Trend score-7.4Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 22% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 22% to break even | 0%–35% | 22 points shortwon 0%, needs 22% | 19.2rushing yards |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 22% to break even | 7%–46% | 2 points shortwon 20%, needs 22% | 32.9rushing yards |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 22% to break even | 22%–61% | 18 points betterwon 40%, needs 22% | 46rushing yards |
| This season | 0 of 30%needs 22% to break even | 0%–47% | 22 points shortwon 0%, needs 22% | 25.7rushing yards |
| Last season | 8 of 1844%needs 22% to break even | 27%–63% | 23 points betterwon 44%, needs 22% | 60.3rushing yards |
| Every game | 8 of 2138%needs 22% to break even | 23%–56% | 16 points betterwon 38%, needs 22% | 55.3rushing yards |
Games like tonight
Tonight PIT plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against NO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 2 of 11 on the road. Tonight: NO allows 116.8 rushing yards a game to running backs, the most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 89.6): an easy matchup for this bet. How NO defends running backs
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Rico Dowdle over 49.5 rushing yards8 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Rushing yards in each game against over 49.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rushing yards | Beat 49.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  TB | 40 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  NE | 22 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  ATL | 15 | -34.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 19 |  LAR | 9 | -40.5 | Lost |
| Wk 18 | TB | 10 | -39.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 |  SEA | 59 | +9.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 | TB | 29 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 |  NO | 49 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | LAR | 58 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 |  SF | 38 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | ATL | 45 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 | NO | 53 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 |  GB | 130 | +80.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 |  BUF | 54 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 |  NYJ | 79 | +29.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 |  DAL | 183 | +133.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  MIA | 206 | +156.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | NE | 32 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | ATL | 30 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  ARI | 9 | -40.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  JAX | 12 | -37.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 19.5 rushing yardsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable |  +181at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 36% to break even3 of 11 on the road | -18.7Not beating its price | ||
| Under 24.5 rushing yardsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable | +129at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 44% to break even4 of 11 on the road | -18.6Not beating its price | ||
| Under 29.5 rushing yardsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable |  -112at BetOnline | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even4 of 11 on the road | -23.3Not beating its price | ||
| Under 30.5 rushing yardsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable |  -120at Fanatics | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 55% to break even4 of 11 on the road | -23.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Rico Dowdle in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 11.5 rush attemptsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable | +650at Fanatics | 9 of 18· last season50%needs 13% to break even4 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | 1.8Slight | |
| Over 1.5 receptionsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable |  +106at DraftKings | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 49% to break even7 of 11 on the road | 0.2Slight | ||
| Over 6.5 rush attemptsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable | -139at BetOnline | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 58% to break even8 of 11 on the road | -1.9Not beating its price | ||
| Over 5.5 rush attemptsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable | -200at BetOnline | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 67% to break even10 of 11 on the road | -3.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 4.5 receiving yardsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable |  -188at FanDuel | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 65% to break even9 of 11 on the road | -3.2Not beating its price | ||
| Over 2.5 receptionsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable | +326at DraftKings | 7 of 18· last season39%needs 23% to break even3 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -5.8Not beating its price | |
| Over 9.5 rush attemptsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable |  +285at BetRivers | 10 of 18· last season56%needs 26% to break even4 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -7.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 40.5 rush + rec yardsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable | -113at DraftKings | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 53% to break even7 of 11 on the road | -10.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 42.5 rush + rec yardsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable |  -115at BetMGM | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 53% to break even7 of 11 on the road | -11.1Not beating its price | ||
| Over 41.5 rush + rec yardsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable | -115at BetRivers | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 53% to break even7 of 11 on the road | -11.1Not beating its price | ||
| Over 14.5 receiving yardsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable | +208at DraftKings | 7 of 18· last season39%needs 32% to break even5 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -11.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 39.5 rush + rec yardsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable | -120at DraftKings | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 55% to break even7 of 11 on the road | -12.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.