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NFLPlayer propRushing yards
Rico Dowdle under 24.5 rushing yards
Won4 of 5last 5 games · 80%
Best price+124Kalshi
Price needs44.6%wins to break even
Every game6 of 21this season and last
Trend score-19.4Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 45% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 45% to break even | 44%–95% | 35 points betterwon 80%, needs 45% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 45% to break even | 19%–65% | 5 points shortwon 40%, needs 45% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 45% to break even | 13%–48% | 18 points shortwon 27%, needs 45% |
| This season | 2 of 367%needs 45% to break even | 25%–92% | 22 points betterwon 67%, needs 45% |
| Last season | 4 of 1822%needs 45% to break even | 10%–41% | 22 points shortwon 22%, needs 45% |
| Every game | 6 of 2129%needs 45% to break even | 16%–46% | 16 points shortwon 29%, needs 45% |
Games like tonight
Tonight PIT plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against NO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Rico Dowdle under 24.5 rushing yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Rushing yards in each game against under 24.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rushing yards | Beat 24.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  TB | 40 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  NE | 22 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  ATL | 15 | +9.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 19 |  LAR | 9 | +15.5 | Won |
| Wk 18 | TB | 10 | +14.5 | Won |
| Wk 17 |  SEA | 59 | -34.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | TB | 29 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 |  NO | 49 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | LAR | 58 | -33.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 |  SF | 38 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | ATL | 45 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 | NO | 53 | -28.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 |  GB | 130 | -105.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 |  BUF | 54 | -29.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 |  NYJ | 79 | -54.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 |  DAL | 183 | -158.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  MIA | 206 | -181.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | NE | 32 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | ATL | 30 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  ARI | 9 | +15.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  JAX | 12 | +12.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 24.5 rushing yardsRico Dowdle · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETListed questionable |  -161at Kalshi | 14 of 18· last season78%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 29.5 rushing yardsRico Dowdle · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETListed questionable | -103at Kalshi | 13 of 18· last season72%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.8Not beating its price | |
| Over 30.5 rushing yardsRico Dowdle · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETListed questionable |  -114at BetOnline | 12 of 18· last season67%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 31.5 rushing yardsRico Dowdle · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETListed questionable |  -114at FanDuel | 12 of 18· last season67%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 32.5 rushing yardsRico Dowdle · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETListed questionable |  -112at BetRivers | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 53% to break even | -20.7Not beating its price | ||
| Over 39.5 rushing yardsRico Dowdle · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETListed questionable | +173at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 37% to break even | -10.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Rico Dowdle in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 receptionsRico Dowdle · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETListed questionable | -130at BetOnline | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 57% to break even | -6.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 14.5 receiving yardsRico Dowdle · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETListed questionable | +198at Kalshi | 7 of 18· last season39%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.8Not beating its price | |
| Over 8.5 receiving yardsRico Dowdle · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETListed questionable | -114at FanDuel | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 53% to break even | -14.1Not beating its price | ||
| Under 10.5 receiving yardsRico Dowdle · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETListed questionable |  -118at DraftKings | 9 of 18· last season50%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 10.5 receiving yardsRico Dowdle · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETListed questionable | -107at DraftKings | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 52% to break even | -22.6Not beating its price | ||
| Under 8.5 receiving yardsRico Dowdle · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETListed questionable | -111at BetOnline | 7 of 18· last season39%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 1.5 receptionsRico Dowdle · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETListed questionable |  +105at BetMGM | 7 of 18· last season39%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.